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PepsiCo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PEP) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

PepsiCo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PEP) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

百事可樂公司(納斯達克:PEP)的業務落後於市場,但其股票並未落後。
Simply Wall St ·  07/15 06:39

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for PepsiCo as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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NasdaqGS:PEP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on PepsiCo will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like PepsiCo's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 17% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that PepsiCo's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From PepsiCo's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that PepsiCo currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - PepsiCo has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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