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Shareholders 26% Loss in Valhi (NYSE:VHI) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Five Years

Shareholders 26% Loss in Valhi (NYSE:VHI) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Five Years

瓦利化工(紐交所:VHI)股東的26%虧損部分歸因於該公司過去五年中收益的下降。
Simply Wall St ·  07/15 08:46

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Valhi, Inc. (NYSE:VHI) share price up 19% in a single quarter. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. In fact, the share price is down 34%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

雖然對於一些股東而言可能不夠,但我們認爲看到Valhi, Inc. (紐交所:VHI)股價在一個季度內上漲19%實屬不錯。但是,如果您回顧過去五年的收益,它並不好。事實上,股價下跌了34%,這遠遠不及購買指數基金可以獲得的回報。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

雖然過去一週股東的投資回報率有所緩解,但在過去五年中仍處於虧損狀態,因此讓我們看看這家公司的基本業務是否是導致下跌的原因。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管市場是一個強大的定價機制,股價不僅反映了基本業務表現,還反映了投資者的情緒。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,並隨時間推移這樣做,我們可以了解股東對公司的態度如何隨時間變化。

Looking back five years, both Valhi's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 68% per year. This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earnings. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 8% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. With a P/E ratio of 847.71, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

回顧過去五年,瓦利化工的股價和每股收益率都下降了,後者以每年68%的速度下降。部分原因是特殊項目對盈利的影響。每股收益的下降低於8%的年複合股價下跌。因此,市場可能曾經預期下跌,或者期待情況會改善。以847.71的市盈率來看,市場對該企業的未來看法是樂觀的。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

big
NYSE:VHI Earnings Per Share Growth July 15th 2024
瓦利化工每股收益增長指數於2024年7月15日

This free interactive report on Valhi's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想進一步調查該股票,可以查看瓦利化工盈利、營業收入和現金流這份免費互動報告,它是一個絕佳的起點。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Valhi's TSR for the last 5 years was -26%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR將任何分拆或折價融資的價值和任何派息納入其中,基於派息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。瓦利化工過去5年的TSR爲-26%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提高了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's good to see that Valhi has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 29% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 5% per year over five years. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Valhi (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

很高興看到,瓦利化工在過去十二個月內以總股東回報率29%回報股東,包括派發的股息。毫無疑問,這些最近的回報遠遠好於過去五年每年的TSR損失5%。我們通常更加關注長期的表現而不是短期的表現,但是最近的改善可能預示着業務的(積極)拐點。在考慮到市場條件可能對股價產生的不同影響的同時,還有其他更重要的因素。因此,您應該了解我們發現的瓦利化工的4個警告信號(其中一個有點令人擔憂)。

But note: Valhi may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:瓦利化工可能不是最好的股票。因此,請查看此免費列表,其中包含過去的收益增長(以及更多的增長預測)的有趣公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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