Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688676) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 26%, which is great even in a bull market.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.5x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
SHSE:688676 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 56% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 79% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 38% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 24% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's P/E?
Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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