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As Huaan Securities (SHSE:600909) Climbs 5.2% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

As Huaan Securities (SHSE:600909) Climbs 5.2% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

隨着華安證券(SHSE:600909)上漲5.2%的過去一週,投資者現在可能開始注意該公司五年的收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  07/15 18:47

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Huaan Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600909) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 35% over a half decade. On the other hand the share price has bounced 5.2% over the last week.

對於許多人來說,投資的主要目的是獲得高於整個市場的回報。但其主要遊戲是找足夠的贏家,以抵消失者的損失。因此,我們不會責怪長揸華安證券股份有限公司(SHSE:600909)的股東對於持有股票5年半而導致股票下跌35%而懷疑自己的決定。另一方面,股價在過去一週回升了5.2%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥987m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,公司在過去7天內爲其市值增加了人民幣98700萬,因此讓我們看看是否能夠確定是什麼導致了股東的五年虧損。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者情緒,不僅僅是基本業績。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司周圍情緒如何變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Huaan Securities actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 1.0% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在不幸的五年半期間,股票價格下跌,但華安證券的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年提高了1.0%。因此,似乎EPS並不是了解市場如何評估該股票的良好指導。或者,市場以前非常樂觀,所以儘管EPS有所改善,但股票仍然令人失望。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

通過看這些數字,我們認爲市場五年前對更高的增長有更高的預期。查看其他指標可能更能說明股價變化。

Revenue is actually up 5.2% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

營業收入實際上在該時間段內增長了5.2%。更詳細地審查營收和收益可能會或可能不會解釋股價停滯的原因;可能會有機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

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SHSE:600909 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 15th 2024
SHSE:600909季度收益和營收增長2024年7月15日

Take a more thorough look at Huaan Securities' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通過這份有關華安證券資產負債表的免費報告,更全面地了解華安證券的財務狀況。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Huaan Securities the TSR over the last 5 years was -20%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股票價格回報之外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。 TSR是一種回報計算,考慮到現金股息(假設重新投資了任何收到的股息)以及任何折扣的融資和剝離資本的計算價值。因此,對於支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR通常比股票價格回報高得多。我們注意到,對於華安證券而言,過去5年的TSR爲-20%,這比上述股票價格回報要好。這在很大程度上是其分紅的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While it's never nice to take a loss, Huaan Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 9.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 17%. Given the total loss of 4% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Huaan Securities better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Huaan Securities (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管承受了包括股息在內的追蹤12個月的虧損9.1%,華安證券股東可以安慰自己,並不像市場虧損約17%那樣糟糕。考慮到過去五年的總虧損率爲每年4%,似乎回報在過去十二個月中有所惡化。雖然有些投資者專門購買正在努力掙扎(但仍被低估)的公司表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過“拯救很少能夠真正成功”。跟蹤長期股價表現總是很有趣的,但要更好地了解華安證券,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經發現華安證券存在2個預警信號(1個是重要的!),在投資此處之前應該注意。

Of course Huaan Securities may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,華安證券可能不是最好的股票購買。因此,您可能希望查看這些成長型股票的免費集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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