The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd (SHSE:600742) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses
The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd (SHSE:600742) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses
Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. The Changchun FAWAY Automobile Components Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600742) is down 19% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -11% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 26%. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.8% over the last week.
當投資者持有的股票價格下跌時,他們可以感到失望。但在市場下跌時,你一定會有一些失敗者。長春一汽富維汽車部件股份有限公司(SHSE:600742)在三年內下跌了19%,但一旦你包括分紅,則總股東回報率爲-11%。而且,這種總回報率實際上擊敗了市場的下跌26%。另一方面,股價在過去一週反彈了6.8%。
While the stock has risen 6.8% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
儘管股價在過去一週上漲了6.8%,但長期持股者仍處於虧損狀態,讓我們看看基本面可以告訴我們什麼。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:“短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機”。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During the three years that the share price fell, Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 17% each year. In comparison the 7% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.
在股價下跌的三年期間,長春一汽富維汽車部件有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了17%。相比之下,7%的年複合股價下跌不像EPS的下降那麼嚴重。這表明市場仍然對長期盈利穩定性保持一些樂觀態度,儘管過去的EPS下降。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(通過點擊圖像來查看確切數值)。
Dive deeper into Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通過查看長春一汽富維汽車部件有限公司的收益、營業收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解長春一汽富維汽車部件有限公司的關鍵指標。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was -11%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股票價格回報之外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股票價格回報只反映了股票價格的變化,而TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被充分再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或分拆帶來的好處。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票回報狀況。事實上,長春一汽富維汽車部件有限公司過去3年的TSR爲-11%,超過了上述股票價格回報。毫無疑問,股息支付很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd shares lost 6.0% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 17%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 1.8% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd you should be aware of.
雖然看到長春一汽富維汽車部件股份有限公司股票在全年下跌6.0%當然令人失望,但這還不如市場的下跌17%糟糕。當然,長期回報更加重要,好消息是,在過去的五年中,該股爲每年回報了1.8%。可能是業務面臨短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。我認爲,股票長期表現作爲業務績效的代理是非常有趣的。但是,爲了真正獲取洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。關鍵是:我們已經發現了一個對於長春一汽富維汽車部件股份有限公司的警告信號,你應該注意。
But note: Changchun FAWAY Automobile ComponentsLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但是請注意:長春一汽富維汽車部件公司可能不是最好的股票買入選擇。因此,請查看此免費列表,其中包含過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)有趣的公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。