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Investing in LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 53% Gain

Investing in LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 53% Gain

五年前投資利安德巴塞爾工業(紐交所:LYB)將會爲您帶來53%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  07/16 14:38

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB) share price is up 14% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 5.2%.

長期投資的主要目的是賺錢。但不僅如此,你可能想看到它比市場平均水平上升更多。不幸的是,儘管利安德巴塞爾工業股份有限公司(紐交所:LYB)股價在過去五年中上漲了14%,但仍低於市場回報率。僅僅看過去一年,該股上漲了5.2%。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

那麼,讓我們調查一下並查看公司的長期表現是否符合基本業務的進展。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章《格雷厄姆-多德斯維爾的超級投資人》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股票價格並不總是理性地反映公司價值的情況。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒如何變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股票價格進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, LyondellBasell Industries actually saw its EPS drop 10% per year.

在股價上漲的五年中,利安德巴塞爾工業股份有限公司的每股收益每年下降了10%。

Since the EPS are down strongly, it seems highly unlikely market participants are looking at EPS to value the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於每股收益大幅下滑,市場參與者看待公司的價值不可能僅僅考慮每股收益。下跌的每股收益與上漲的股價並不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。

We note that the dividend is higher than it was previously - always nice to see. Maybe dividend investors have helped support the share price. We'd posit that the revenue growth over the last five years, of 7.7% per year, would encourage people to invest.

我們注意到,股息高於之前 - 看到這總是很好。也許分紅投資者已經幫助支撐股價。我們認爲,過去五年中每年增長7.7%的營業收入將鼓勵人們進行投資。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

big
NYSE:LYB Earnings and Revenue Growth July 16th 2024
紐交所:LYb收益和營業收入增長2024年7月16日

LyondellBasell Industries is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

利安德巴塞爾工業股份有限公司爲投資者熟知,許多聰明的分析師嘗試預測未來的利潤水平。因此,我們建議查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, LyondellBasell Industries' TSR for the last 5 years was 53%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報率以及股價回報率是很重要的。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮到現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都是再投資的)和任何折價融資和分拆的計算價值。可以說,TSR給出了股票產生的回報的更全面的圖像。碰巧,利安德巴塞爾工業的TSR在過去5年中爲53%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提高了總股東回報率。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

LyondellBasell Industries shareholders are up 11% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 9% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for LyondellBasell Industries that you should be aware of before investing here.

利安德巴塞爾工業股東今年的回報率爲11%(包括股息)。但是這種回報率仍然低於市場。好的一面是,這仍然是一種收益,並且實際上比半個十年的平均回報率9%要好。業務基本面有可能改善帶來回報的同時,考慮市場條件的不同影響是非常值得的。但要注意:利安德巴塞爾工業可能不是最好的股票購買選擇。因此,請查看這個免費的有過去盈利增長(以及更多增長預測)的有趣公司列表。

But note: LyondellBasell Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但要注意:利安德巴塞爾工業可能不是最好的購買股票。因此,請查看這個免費的有着過去盈利增長(以及更多增長預測)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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