When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 29x, you may consider Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600519) as an attractive investment with its 23.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Kweichow Moutai as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
SHSE:600519 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 16th 2024 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kweichow Moutai will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Any Growth For Kweichow Moutai?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Kweichow Moutai's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 64% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 24% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kweichow Moutai's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Kweichow Moutai's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Kweichow Moutai maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Kweichow Moutai, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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