Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) (SHSE:601231) A Risky Investment?
Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) (SHSE:601231) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601231) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,通常會關注其債務使用情況,因爲過度負債可能會導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,上海通用科技股份有限公司(SHSE:601231)使用債務。但是股東是否應該擔心其債務使用情況?霍華德·馬克斯(Howard Marks)非常準確地表達了這一點,他說與其擔心股價波動性,“我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性......我認識的每個實際投資者都會擔心這個問題。”
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務協助企業,直到企業使用新的資本或者自由現金流解決還清債務的問題。如果公司不能履行償還債務的法律義務,最終股東可能啥也得不到。然而,更常見的情況是,公司必須以低於市價的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,公司合理地管理其債務並使其受益。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是將現金和負債放在一起考慮。
What Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s Net Debt?
上海通用科技股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) had CN¥8.66b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥13.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.40b.
下面的圖表,您可以點擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示上海通用科技股份有限公司於2024年3月有約86.6億元的債務;與前一年大致相同。然而,它確實有131億元的現金抵消了這一點,導致淨現金爲44億元。
How Strong Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s Balance Sheet?
上海通用科技股份有限公司的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥17.4b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.35b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥13.1b as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.41b due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,上海通用科技股份有限公司有174億元的短期債務,並且有43.5億元的到期債務。抵消這些義務,它有131億元的現金以及價值84.1億元的應收款項在12個月內到期。因此,它的總負債幾乎完全與其短期的流動資產相匹配。
Having regard to Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥37.8b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
考慮到上海通用科技股份有限公司的規模,看起來其流動資產和總負債已經很好地平衡了。因此,這家378億元的公司很不可能缺現金,但仍值得密切關注資產負債表。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但上海通用科技股份有限公司的現金比債務多,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理其債務。
In fact Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 31% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
事實上,上海通用科技股份有限公司的救命稻草是其低負債水平,因爲其EBIt在過去12個月中下降了31%。在償還債務方面,下降的盈利與含糖的蘇打水對健康一樣毫無用處。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯位置。但是,最終企業未來的盈利能力將決定上海通用科技股份有限公司是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的盈利預測。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但出借人只接受冰冷的現金。儘管上海通用科技股份有限公司在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看看業務如何將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流是很有趣的,因爲這將影響它管理債務的需求和能力。在最近的三年中,上海通用科技股份有限公司的自由現金流價值相當於EBIt的73%,這是正常水平,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這筆自由現金流使該公司在適當時期償還債務處於良好的位置。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) has CN¥4.40b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥3.9b, being 73% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
雖然審視公司的總債務總是明智的,但上海通用科技股份有限公司有44億元的淨現金非常令人放心。它的自由現金流爲39億元,爲其EBIt的73%留下了深刻的印象。所以,我們對上海通用科技股份有限公司的債務使用不感到擔憂。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的區域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表內——遠非如此。請注意,上海通用科技股份有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道......
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。