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Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc (SHSE:600422) A Risky Investment?

Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc (SHSE:600422) A Risky Investment?

KPC製藥股份有限公司(SHSE:600422)是否是一項風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/16 19:59

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies KPC Pharmaceuticals,Inc. (SHSE:600422) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股票價格波動,'我擔心的是永久損失的可能性...而且我所知道的每一個實際投資者都會擔心這個問題。' 當我們考慮一個公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務超載可能導致破產。 正如許多其他公司一樣,康締藥業股份有限公司(SHSE:600422)也使用了債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務所帶來的風險有多大?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務和其他負債對企業而言具有風險,當企業不能輕鬆地通過自由現金流或以優惠價格籌集資本來履行這些義務時,這些風險就會變得嚴重。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以控制企業。然而,一個經常發生的情況是,公司必須以低價發行股票,從而永久稀釋股東,以彌補資產負債表。當然,債務可以是企業的重要工具,特別是資本密集型企業。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首要要做的事情是將其現金和債務結合在一起。

What Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc's Net Debt?

石藥集團股份有限公司的淨債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 KPC PharmaceuticalsInc had CN¥855.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥816.2m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.96b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.11b net cash.

您可以單擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,石藥集團股份有限公司的債務爲85500萬元人民幣,比一年前的81620萬元人民幣增加。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有19.6億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上有11.1億元人民幣的淨現金。

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SHSE:600422 Debt to Equity History July 16th 2024
SHSE:600422資產負債歷史記錄2024年7月16日

How Strong Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc's Balance Sheet?

石藥集團股份有限公司的財務狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc had liabilities of CN¥3.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥429.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.96b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.36b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.10b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,石藥集團股份有限公司的義務有38億元人民幣,需要在12個月內償還,而在此之後需要償還4291萬元人民幣的義務。相對地,它有196億元人民幣的現金,以及336億元人民幣的應收賬款,需要在12個月內償還。因此,它實際上有11億元人民幣的流動資產比總負債高。

This surplus suggests that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這一盈餘表明石藥集團股份有限公司具有審慎的資產負債表,很可能可以毫不費力地消除其債務。簡而言之,石藥集團股份有限公司具有更多的現金而不是債務,這是一個良好的指標,表明它可以安全地處理其債務。

But the bad news is that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has seen its EBIT plunge 15% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KPC PharmaceuticalsInc can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

但壞消息是,石藥集團股份有限公司的利息、稅項、折舊與攤銷後利潤(EBIT)在過去十二個月中暴跌了15%。如果這種收益下降的速度持續下去,該公司可能會陷入困境。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,企業未來的盈利能力將決定石藥集團股份有限公司是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,您可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. KPC PharmaceuticalsInc may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, KPC PharmaceuticalsInc recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用現金來償還債務,而不是會計利潤。石藥集團股份有限公司可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看一下公司將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,因爲這將影響它管理債務的需求和能力。在查看最近三年的最新數據時,石藥集團股份有限公司的自由現金流爲其EBIt的45%,這比我們預期的要弱。這種弱的現金轉換使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has net cash of CN¥1.11b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with KPC PharmaceuticalsInc's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

雖然我們理解認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,石藥集團股份有限公司有1.1億人民幣的淨現金,以及更多的流動資產而不是負債。因此,我們對石藥集團股份有限公司的債務使用並不擔心。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時的重點區域。但最終,每家公司都包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如——石藥集團股份有限公司有 1個警告標誌 我們認爲你應該知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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