share_log

We Think Walvax Biotechnology (SZSE:300142) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Walvax Biotechnology (SZSE:300142) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲沃森生物(SZSE:300142)能夠控制好其債務。
Simply Wall St ·  07/16 21:45

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Walvax Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300142) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克思說得很好,與其擔心股價波動,“我擔心的是可能的永久性損失……我知道的每一個實踐投資者都會擔心。”看來,明智的投資者知道債務(這通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險的非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,沃森生物科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300142)利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多少風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業開始無法付清其債務,不管是通過新的資金還是自由現金流。如果情況真的不好,放貸人可以奪取企業的控制權。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是一家公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東,以控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它代替某個公司能夠以高回報率重新投資的稀釋時。考慮企業使用多少債務的第一件事是看看其現金和債務的情況。

How Much Debt Does Walvax Biotechnology Carry?

沃森生物到底承擔了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Walvax Biotechnology had CN¥791.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥409.8m, over one year. But it also has CN¥4.11b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.32b net cash.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,沃森生物負債爲79100萬人民幣,比一年前的40980萬人民幣增加。但它也有41.1億人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,這意味着它有33.2億人民幣的淨現金。

big
SZSE:300142 Debt to Equity History July 17th 2024
SZSE:300142的歷史債務權益比

A Look At Walvax Biotechnology's Liabilities

看一眼沃森生物的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Walvax Biotechnology had liabilities of CN¥2.98b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥975.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.11b and CN¥3.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.38b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近披露的資產負債表,沃森生物的一年內到期負債爲29.8億人民幣,超過一年的到期負債爲97550萬人民幣。另一方面,它有41.1億人民幣的現金和32.2億人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它可以宣稱淨流動資產比總負債多出33.8億人民幣。

This excess liquidity suggests that Walvax Biotechnology is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Walvax Biotechnology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種多餘的流動性證明沃森生物在債務方面採取了謹慎的方法。由於其強大的淨資產位置,它不太可能遇到與其貸方相關的問題。簡而言之,沃森生物擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Walvax Biotechnology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 47% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Walvax Biotechnology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理層無法阻止去年EBIT下降47%的重演,沃森生物的負債負擔的適度性可能會變得至關重要。在償還債務時,萎靡的盈利和含糖的蘇打飲料對公司的健康都沒有什麼幫助。顯然,在分析債務時應關注資產負債表。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定沃森生物能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,可以看看這份免費的分析師利潤預測報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Walvax Biotechnology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Walvax Biotechnology actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最後,雖然稅務官員可能會喜歡會計利潤,但貸方只接受冰冷的現金。雖然沃森生物在資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得我們關注其將利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它正在以多快的速度建立(或耗盡)那筆現金餘額。考慮到最近三年,沃森生物實際上出現了現金流出的情況。負債率通常更高,而且對於負自由現金流的公司來說,風險幾乎總是更高的。股東們應希望得到改善。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Walvax Biotechnology has net cash of CN¥3.32b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Walvax Biotechnology's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Walvax Biotechnology .

雖然我們同情擔心債務的投資者,但您需要記住,沃森生物擁有3.32億人民幣的淨現金,還有比負債更多的流動資產。因此,我們對沃森生物的債務使用沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是個明顯的切入點。但最終,每個公司的風險都可能存在於資產負債表以外。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的沃森生物的2個警示信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論