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Here's Why Shang Gong Group (SHSE:600843) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why Shang Gong Group (SHSE:600843) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

爲什麼上工b股(SHSE:600843)有重大債務負擔
Simply Wall St ·  18:03

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shang Gong Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600843) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

作爲投資者,有人認爲波動性而非債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性與風險遠非同義詞。” 因此,明智之舉是了解債務——通常是破產的關鍵因素——以此來判斷一家企業有多大風險。我們注意到,上工b股股份有限公司(SHSE:600843)的資產負債表上確實有債務,但真正的問題是這些債務是否會讓公司變得更加危險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還貸款,則完全處於債權人的支配下。如果事情變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。不過,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東的權益。當然,債務的好處在於,它往往代表着便宜的資本,尤其是當它替代具有高回報率再投資能力的企業的稀釋時。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務合併考慮。

What Is Shang Gong Group's Debt?

上工b股股份有限公司的債務狀況是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Shang Gong Group had debt of CN¥1.35b, up from CN¥1.05b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.48b in cash, so it actually has CN¥137.1m net cash.

下面的圖片可以點擊以查看細節,顯示2024年3月上工b股股份有限公司有13.5億元的債務,相比一年前的10.5億元有所增加。然而,其資產負債表顯示它持有14.8億元的現金,因此它實際上有1.371億元的淨現金。

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SHSE:600843 Debt to Equity History July 17th 2024
SHSE:600843股權負債歷史7月17日2024年

How Healthy Is Shang Gong Group's Balance Sheet?

我們可以看到最近一份資產負債表顯示,上工b股股份有限公司有預計於一年內到期的22.5億元負債,而約有5867萬元負債到期時間更長。抵消這一點的是,它持有14.8億元的現金和12.4億元的應收款項,這些應收款項在12個月內到期。所以,它所持有的負債合計比現金和短期應收賬款多1.123億元。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shang Gong Group had liabilities of CN¥2.25b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥586.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.48b in cash and CN¥1.24b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥112.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

由於上工b股股份有限公司公開交易的股份總價值爲38.8億元,因此這種負債程度似乎不會是一個主要的威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注它的資產負債表強度,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生改變。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但上工b股股份有限公司也擁有比債務更多的現金,因此我們相當有信心它可以安全地管理其債務。

Since publicly traded Shang Gong Group shares are worth a total of CN¥3.88b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Shang Gong Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

不幸的是,上工b股股份有限公司上年的息稅前利潤下滑了6.6%。如果這種盈利趨勢繼續下去,那麼它的債務負擔將會像一個極地熊看着它唯一的幼崽時的沉重心臟一樣。顯然資產負債表是分析債務的關鍵領域。但是,上工b股股份有限公司的盈利將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,如果您想了解更多關於它的盈利的內容,查看其長期盈利趨勢的圖表可能是值得的。

Unfortunately, Shang Gong Group saw its EBIT slide 6.6% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shang Gong Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

但是我們最後的考慮是同樣重要的,因爲企業不能使用紙上利潤支付債務。它需要現鈔來償還債務。雖然上工b股股份有限公司在其資產負債表上持有淨現金,但仍值得注意的是,考慮它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它的現金餘額是如何快速增長(或消耗)的。在過去的三年中,上工b股股份有限公司已經燒掉了大量的現金。儘管投資者無疑希望這種情況在適當的時候會有所好轉,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用更加危險。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shang Gong Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Shang Gong Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

我們可以理解投資者是否擔憂上工b股股份有限公司的負債,但我們可以通過它有淨現金13,710萬元的事實得到保證。因此,儘管上工b股股份有限公司的資產負債表並不是特別好,但也不算太糟糕。顯然,資產負債表是分析債務的重點領域,但並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們已經發現了3個預警信號,其中2個讓我們感到不安,您應該注意。

Summing Up

總之

We could understand if investors are concerned about Shang Gong Group's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥137.1m. So while Shang Gong Group does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shang Gong Group (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

一些人認爲波動性而不是債務是投資風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性與風險遠非同義詞。” 因此,明智之舉是了解債務——通常是破產的關鍵因素——以此來判斷一家企業有多大風險。我們注意到,上工b股股份有限公司的資產負債表上確實有債務,但真正的問題是這些債務是否會讓公司變得更加危險。債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還貸款,則完全處於債權人的支配下。如果事情變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。不過,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東的權益。當然,債務的好處在於,它往往代表着便宜的資本,尤其是當它替代具有高回報率再投資能力的企業的稀釋時。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務合併考慮。雖然上工b股股份有限公司的資產負債表並不是特別好,但也不算太糟糕。我們可以理解投資者是否擔憂上工b股股份有限公司的負債,但我們可以通過它有淨現金13,710萬元的事實得到保證。因此,儘管上工b股股份有限公司的資產負債表並不是特別好,但也不算太糟糕。顯然,資產負債表是分析債務的重點領域,但並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們已經發現了3個預警信號,其中2個讓我們感到不安,您應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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