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Semiconductor Stocks Historically Outperform Following 5% Selloff in a Day, Bank Of America Says

Semiconductor Stocks Historically Outperform Following 5% Selloff in a Day, Bank Of America Says

美國銀行表示,半導體股票在日內下跌5%後歷史上表現優異
Benzinga ·  13:54

Semiconductor stocks have taken a beating this week. Bank of America believes the heavy selling pressure on semis sets the sector up for outperformance into the end of the year.

本週半導體股票受到重創。 美國銀行認爲,半導體股票的大量拋售將使該行業在年底時表現出色。

What To Know: BofA Securities senior analyst Vivek Arya reminded investors to focus on fundamentals when doubt arises in a new note released late Wednesday.

BofA證券高級分析師Vivek Arya在週三發佈的一份新研究報告中提醒投資者,在有疑慮時需要關注基本面。

Chip stocks got punished on Wednesday as investors rotated out of the red-hot sector following comments from President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.

週三,隨着總統喬·拜登和前總統唐納德·特朗普的評論,投資者從紅火的板塊中轉移資產,芯片股票受到懲罰。

Biden recently suggested that he's considering putting tougher trade restrictions on semiconductor equipment and Trump said this week that the U.S. wouldn't defend Taiwan from Chinese invasion and indicated Taiwan should pay the U.S. for protection from China.

拜登最近暗示,他正考慮對半導體設備實施更嚴格的貿易限制,特朗普也表示,美國不會保衛臺灣抵抗中國的入侵,並暗示臺灣應該爲免受中國軍方的侵略而向美國付款。

The rising geopolitical uncertainty took a toll on chip stocks causing the semiconductor index to close down approximately 6.8% on Wednesday. Although BofA acknowledged that volatility could remain elevated through earnings season and the upcoming elections, the firm highlighted a reassuring stat suggesting semi stocks could bounce back fast.

不斷升級的地緣政治風險對芯片股票造成了打擊,導致半導體指數週三收盤下跌了約6.8%。儘管美國銀行承認,波動性可能會在季度收益和即將到來的選舉中保持高位,但該公司還是強調了一個令人放心的統計數據,表明半導體股票將迅速反彈。

Wednesday marked the 26th time the semiconductor sector has closed down more than 5% in a day over the last decade. Historically, the index has "rebounded quickly" and gone on to outperform the S&P 500 over the next three to six months, Arya said.

週三是過去十年中,半導體板塊收盤下跌超過5%的第26次。 Arya表示,從歷史上看,該指數已經"迅速反彈",並在接下來的三到六個月內表現優於S&P 500指數。

Based on historical data following a 5% or greater selloff, semiconductors are up 19% on average three months later and 28% on average six months later, well ahead of $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ averages, the BofA analyst said.

根據歷史數據,經過5%或更大程度的拋售,半導體平均三個月後上漲19%,平均六個月後上漲28%,遠超過整體市場。$標普500指數 (.SPX.US)$BofA分析師稱,“根據平均水平而言,這些收益率都高於整體市場。”

To help tune out the noise surrounding geopolitical uncertainty, Arya suggested investors take another look at the fundamentals. AI is still the strongest area that companies are spending in, while global growth looks "murky at best," he said, adding he believes some of the biggest U.S. cloud companies are planning three to five years out.

爲了幫助投資者擺脫圍繞地緣政治風險的干擾,Arya建議他們重新審視基本面。他表示,人工智能仍然是公司投入最強的領域之一,而全球經濟增長看起來“至少存在一些不確定性”,他補充說,他認爲美國一些最大的雲計算公司正在計劃未來三到五年。

"So we understand the rotation away from AI/data-center semis towards industrial/auto/consumer, but it's not supported by fundamentals and is likely short-term positioning driven," Arya said.

"因此,我們理解從人工智能/數據中心半導體向工業/汽車/消費品市場的資產配置調整,但該趨勢並未得到基本面支持,可能只是短期的主題。" Arya說。

"We see current volatility as enhanced opportunity in companies with best profitability in their respective sub-sectors."

"我們認爲當前的波動性加強了對各自子板塊中盈利能力最好的公司的機會。"

BofA said its best ideas in computing and AI include $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ and $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$. The firm also highlighted "attractive valuations" in $ON Semiconductor (ON.US)$ and $Micron Technology (MU.US)$.

BofA認爲,其計算和人工智能方面的最佳想法包括$英偉達 (NVDA.US)$, $博通 (AVGO.US)$和頁面。$Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$公司在一些子領域中表現較優,價格"具吸引力"。 $安森美半導體 (ON.US)$和頁面。$美光科技 (MU.US)$.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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