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We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600827) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600827) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

在上海百聯集團(股票代碼:600827)除息日到來之前,我們不應太快買入。
Simply Wall St ·  07/18 18:04

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600827) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Meaning, you will need to purchase Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s shares before the 22nd of July to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 22nd of July.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.12 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.12 per share. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Shanghai Bailian (Group) has a trailing yield of 1.5% on the current share price of CN¥7.92. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Shanghai Bailian (Group) is paying out an acceptable 56% of its profit, a common payout level among most companies. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Over the last year, it paid out more than three-quarters (82%) of its free cash flow generated, which is fairly high and may be starting to limit reinvestment in the business.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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SHSE:600827 Historic Dividend July 18th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s 15% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Shanghai Bailian (Group) has seen its dividend decline 6.3% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

Final Takeaway

Has Shanghai Bailian (Group) got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? While earnings per share are shrinking, it's encouraging to see that at least Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s dividend appears sustainable, with earnings and cashflow payout ratios that are within reasonable bounds. Bottom line: Shanghai Bailian (Group) has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Shanghai Bailian (Group) don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Bailian (Group) that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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