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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Greattown Holdings Ltd.'s (SHSE:600094) 25% Share Price Plunge

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Greattown Holdings Ltd.'s (SHSE:600094) 25% Share Price Plunge

爲什麼投資者不應對大名城股份有限公司(SHSE:600094)的股價暴跌25%感到驚訝
Simply Wall St ·  07/19 18:10

Greattown Holdings Ltd. (SHSE:600094) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 2.1% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Greattown Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.7x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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SHSE:600094 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024

What Does Greattown Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Greattown Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Greattown Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Greattown Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Greattown Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 25% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 5.7% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that Greattown Holdings' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Greattown Holdings' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Greattown Holdings confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Greattown Holdings (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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