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Heilongjiang Agriculture Company Limited (SHSE:600598) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

Heilongjiang Agriculture Company Limited (SHSE:600598) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

北大荒股份有限公司(SHSE:600598)正處於上漲趨勢:基本面正在推動股票走高嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  07/19 19:13

Heilongjiang Agriculture's (SHSE:600598) stock is up by 2.7% over the past month. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study Heilongjiang Agriculture's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Heilongjiang Agriculture is:

14% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥7.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.14.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Heilongjiang Agriculture's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

To begin with, Heilongjiang Agriculture seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.1%. Yet, Heilongjiang Agriculture has posted measly growth of 2.8% over the past five years. This is generally not the case as when a company has a high rate of return it should usually also have a high earnings growth rate. A few likely reasons why this could happen is that the company could have a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

Next, on comparing Heilongjiang Agriculture's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 2.9% over the last few years.

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SHSE:600598 Past Earnings Growth July 19th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Heilongjiang Agriculture is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Heilongjiang Agriculture Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 74% (or a retention ratio of 26%), most of Heilongjiang Agriculture's profits are being paid to shareholders. This definitely contributes to the low earnings growth seen by the company.

Moreover, Heilongjiang Agriculture has been paying dividends for nine years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Heilongjiang Agriculture has some positive attributes. The company has grown its earnings moderately as previously discussed. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be quite low. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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