share_log

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd's (SHSE:601607) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd's (SHSE:601607) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

上海醫藥控股股份有限公司(SHSE:601607)的股票正在上漲,但財務狀況模糊:動力是否會繼續?
Simply Wall St ·  07/19 19:21

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (SHSE:601607) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 13% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's ROE today.

上海醫藥(SHSE:601607)在股市上運行良好,股票價格在過去三個月中顯著上漲了13%。但是該公司的主要財務指標似乎在各個方面存在差異,這使我們質疑該公司當前的股價動能能否得以維持。特別是今天我們將關注上海醫藥的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或ROE是一項用於評估公司管理層如何利用公司資本的效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股本資本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海醫藥的roe爲:

6.2% = CN¥5.1b ÷ CN¥82b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

6.2% = CN¥ 51億 ÷ CN¥ 820億(基於截至2024年3月的最近十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

“回報”是過去12個月的利潤。這意味着,對於每1元股東權益價值,該公司可以創造0.06元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。根據公司選擇重新投資或“保留”多少利潤,我們就能評估公司未來盈利的能力。一般來說,其他條件相同的情況下,具有高roe和盈利保留的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司增長率更高。

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE

上海醫藥的盈利增長和6.2%的roe

On the face of it, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, we may spare it some thought. Having said that, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding has shown a meagre net income growth of 2.8% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. Hence, this does provide some context to low earnings growth seen by the company.

從表面上看,上海醫藥的roe並沒有太多值得談論的。但是,考慮到該公司的roe與6.4%的行業平均roe相似,我們可能會對其進行思考。話雖如此,上海醫藥過去五年中的淨收入增長率僅爲2.8%。請記住,該公司的roe一開始就不是特別好。因此,這確實爲公司所看到的低收益增長提供了一些背景。

As a next step, we compared Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 4.2% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將上海醫藥的淨收入增長與行業進行了比較,令人失望的是,在同期間內,該公司的增長率低於行業平均增長率的4.2%。

big
SHSE:601607 Past Earnings Growth July 19th 2024
SHSE:601607過去的盈利增長2024年7月19日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎,在很大程度上與其盈利增長有關。投資者需要確定的下一步是,預期的盈利增長,或者是缺乏盈利增長,是否已經融入了股票價格。這樣就可以幫助他們確定股票是面臨美好未來還是黯淡的未來。如果您想了解上海醫藥的估值,請查看其市盈率的測量,與其行業相比。

Is Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海醫藥是否有效地重新投資其利潤?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 28% (implying that the company retains the remaining 72% of its income), Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管具有中等水平的三年中位數股息支付率爲28%(暗示公司保留其收入的其餘72%),但上海醫藥的盈利增長卻相當低。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。

In addition, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 36% over the next three years. However, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's future ROE is expected to rise to 8.1% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

此外,上海醫藥已經連續至少十年支付股息,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,保持股息支付的重要性對管理層來說也更加重要。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,公司未來的股息支付比率預計將在未來三年內上升到36%。但是,儘管預計公司的股息支付比率增加,上海醫藥未來的roe預計將增加至8.1%。我們推斷,可能存在其他因素推動公司roe預期增長。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們對上海醫藥的表現持有一定的矛盾態度。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但由於roe較低,投資者可能並未從所有這些再投資中受益。低收益增長表明了我們的理論是正確的。儘管如此,最新的分析師預測顯示,該公司將繼續看到其收益的擴張。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期還是基於公司的基本面?此處單擊以進入我們的分析師預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論