Toro (NYSE:TTC) Shareholders Notch a 7.4% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
Toro (NYSE:TTC) Shareholders Notch a 7.4% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the The Toro Company (NYSE:TTC) share price is up 34% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Unfortunately the share price is down 4.7% in the last year.
長期投資的主要目的是賺錢。更好的是,你希望看到股價比市場平均水平更高。不幸的是,託羅公司(紐交所:TTC)股價在過去五年中上漲了34%,但仍低於市場回報率。遺憾的是,股價在過去一年中下跌了4.7%。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Toro investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
過去一週對Toro的投資者來說是有利可圖的,那麼讓我們看看是不是基本面驅動了公司的五年表現。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話:“船隻將周遊世界,而‘地平派’仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……”考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
Toro's earnings per share are down 1.6% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
儘管在過去五年中股價表現強勁,但託羅的每股收益每年下降1.6%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
通過觀察這些數據,我們可以得出結論:每股收益下降並不代表業務在過去幾年發生了變化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,所以值得關注一些其他的指標。
The modest 1.5% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. On the other hand, Toro's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 10% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
適度的1.5%股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。另一方面,託羅的營業收入正在以10%的複合增長率增長,目前管理層很可能將營業收入增長放在EPS增長之前。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):
This free interactive report on Toro's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想進一步調查該股票,可以在這裏進行免費交互式報告,了解託羅的資產負債表強度。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Toro's TSR for the last 5 years was 43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報和股價回報同樣重要。而股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價資本籌集或分拆的好處。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息的公司,TSR通常比股價回報率高得多。恰好,託羅過去5年的TSR爲43%,超過之前提到的股價回報率。瓢蟲託羅這種股票派息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Toro shareholders are down 3.3% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Toro better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Toro you should be aware of.
託羅的股東在今年跌了3.3%(包括股息),但市場本身上漲了21%。即使好的股票價格有時也會下跌,但我們需要看到業務基本指標的改善,才會對其產生興趣。好消息是,長期的股東已經賺錢了,過去五年年均增長7%。如果基本數據繼續表明長期可持續增長,目前的拋售可能值得考慮。跟蹤股票的長期表現總是很有趣的。但是要更好地了解託羅,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如:我們發現了3個有關託羅的警告信號,您應該知道。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。