share_log

Is Comerica Headed For A Net Interest Income Inflection? 'We Remain Optimistic,' Analysts Say

Is Comerica Headed For A Net Interest Income Inflection? 'We Remain Optimistic,' Analysts Say

聯信銀行是否會迎來淨利息收入拐點?分析師表示“我們仍然保持樂觀態度”。
Benzinga ·  07/22 11:25

Shares of Comerica Inc (NYSE:CMA) were tanking in early trading on Monday, after the company reported its second-quarter results.

通用銀行股Comerica Inc (NYSE:CMA)的股票在週一早盤交易中暴跌,此前公司公佈了其第二季度業績。

The results came amid an exciting earnings season. Here are some key analyst takeaways.

這些結果出現在一個激動人心的盈利季節。以下是一些重要的分析師觀點。

  • Truist Securities analyst Brandon King downgraded the rating from Buy to Hold, while reducing the price target from $55 to $53.
  • RBC Capital Markets analyst Jon Arfstrom reiterated an Outperform rating, while cutting the price target from $58 to $56.
  • Piper Sandler analyst Scott Siefers maintained a Neutral Overweight rating, while lifting the price target from $51 to $52.
  • Truist Securities的分析師Brandon King將評級由買入降至持有,並將價格目標下調至53美元,此前爲55美元。
  • RBC Capital Markets的分析師Jon Arfstrom重申股票超越評級,但將價格目標由58美元下調至56美元。
  • Piper Sandler的分析師Scott Siefers將評級保持中立超配,同時將價格目標從51美元提高至52美元。

Check out other analyst stock ratings.

查看其他分析師的股票評級。

Truist Securities: "We believe the NII/NIM (net interest income / net income margin) trajectory is now less appealing given continued NIB (non-interest bearing) deposit outflows," King said in the downgrade note. The mix will likely decline to 35% by yearend 2025, versus the previous estimate of 37%.

Truist Securities: "我們認爲NII / NIm(淨利息收入/淨利潤比率)軌跡現在不太吸引人,因爲NIb(非利息收入)存款持續流出",King在評級降級說明中說道。機構的預計將於2025年年底前下降至35%,而先前的估計爲37%。

"Moreover, the loss of $3.3bn in Direct Express NIB deposits over the next few years will likely limit CMA's ability to lower deposit costs in a Fed easing cycle as CMA intends to replace those deposits with core customers," the analyst wrote. He added that the loan growth expectations for the second half 2024 and 2025 had also been lowered.

"此外,直接快遞NIb存款損失33億美元在未來幾年內可能會限制CMA在聯邦放鬆週期中降低存款成本的能力,因爲CMA打算用核心客戶替換這些存款,"分析師寫道。他補充說,對於2024年下半年和2025年的貸款增長預期也已降低。

RBC Capital Markets: Comerica reported earnings of $1.49 per share. Core earnings came in at $1.53 per share and beating consensus of $1.18 per share, Arfstrom said. "Core results had noninterest income and expense trends coming in better than consensus," he added.

RBC Capital Markets: Comerica報告每股收益爲1.49美元。Arfstrom表示,核心盈利爲每股1.53美元,超出共識的每股1.18美元。"核心結果表現出非利息收入和費用趨勢比共識好",他補充道。

Comerica continues to face environmental pressures, although net interest income trends were broadly in-line with expectations, the analyst stated. "Overall, we see the core outlook as consistent, and we remain optimistic that noninterest bearing deposit stability is achievable in the near term (a rate cut would help) and can drive core net interest income inflection," he further wrote.

該分析師表示,儘管Comerica繼續面臨環境壓力,但淨利息收入的趨勢總體符合預期。"總體而言,我們認爲核心前景是一致的,並且我們保持樂觀,認爲近期可以實現非利息存款穩定(利率下調有助於)並推動核心淨利息收入拐點",他進一步寫道。

Piper Sandler: Comerica's performance in the second quarter was much better than anticipated. But, the third-quarter and full-year guidance "tells a different story," Siefers said. The company's NII, fees, and expenses are likely to be under pressure in the third quarter, he added.

Piper Sandler: Comerica第二季度的表現比預期的要好得多。但是,Siefers表示,第三季度和全年的指引"講述不同的故事"。他補充說,公司的NII、費用和支出在第三季度可能面臨壓力。

While the revised guidance "puts quite a bit of downward pressure" on estimates, "we will likely need a strong ramp up in end-of-year loan growth to hit them," the analyst wrote. He lowered the earnings estimates for 2024 and 2025 from $4.82 to $4.59 and from $5.96 to $5.22, respectively.

"儘管修改後的指引對估值施加了相當大的下行壓力,"分析師寫道。"我們可能需要一個有力的年末貸款增長加速才能實現它們,"他將2024年和2025年的盈利預估分別從4.82美元和5.96美元下調至4.59美元和5.22美元。

CMA Price Action: Shares of Comerica had declined by 0.93% to $49.95 at the time of publication on Monday.

CMA價格走勢:在週一發表時,Comerica的股票已下跌0.93%至49.95美元。

Now Read:

現在閱讀:

  • CrowdStrike Faces Downgrades Amid Concerns Over Pricing and Renewals Following Disruption
  • 因中斷後價格和續約問題,CrowdStrike面臨降級。

Image: Shutterstock

圖片:shutterstock

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論