Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings Limited (HKG:1660) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 54% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may still consider Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.6% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 11% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' very lofty P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
The fact that Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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