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Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share (SZSE:000837) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share (SZSE:000837) Using Too Much Debt?

秦川機牀(SZSE:000837)是否使用過多負債?
Simply Wall St ·  07/22 19:33

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000837) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐毫不掩飾地說:「最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」當你檢查一個公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務在商業崩潰時經常涉及。重要的是,金川機牀刀具股份有限公司(SZSE:000837)的確存在債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕鬆用自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金時,債務和其他責任對企業就會變得風險重重。資本主義的本質是「創造性毀滅」過程,失敗的企業會被銀行無情地清算。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低於市場價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東權益,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,有很多公司利用債務來實現增長,沒有任何負面後果。考慮企業的債務水平時的第一步是整體考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share's Debt?

金川機牀刀具股份有限公司的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share had CN¥1.03b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.30b, one year before. But it also has CN¥1.85b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥819.7m net cash.

你可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示,金川機牀刀具股份有限公司在2024年3月有10.3億元的債務,比一年前的13億元下降。但它還有18.5億元的現金來抵消這個,這意味着它有81,970萬元的淨現金。

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SZSE:000837 Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2024
SZSE:000837債務股權歷史記錄2024年7月22日

How Healthy Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share's Balance Sheet?

金川機牀刀具股份有限公司的資產負債表狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share had liabilities of CN¥3.28b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.06b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.85b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.69b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥791.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,金川機牀刀具股份有限公司在12個月內有32.8億元的債務到期,超過12個月有10.6億元的債務到期。抵消這些義務,它有18.5億元的現金以及16.9億元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。所以它的負債總額比它的現金和短期應收賬款加起來還多,高達79150萬人民幣。

Of course, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share has a market capitalization of CN¥7.76b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

當然,金川機牀刀具股份有限公司的市值爲77.6億元,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。儘管有這些顯著的負債,金川機牀刀具股份有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯場所。但你不能孤立地看債務;因爲金川機牀刀具股份有限公司需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你想了解更多關於其收益的信息,可以查看其長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 6.4%, to CN¥3.7b. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去的一年中,金川機牀刀具股份有限公司在利息和稅前虧損,並實際上使其收入減少了6.4%,達到3.7億元。這不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share?

金川機牀刀具股份有限公司的風險有多大?

While Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥20m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share .

儘管欽川機牀刀具集團股份在息稅前利潤(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上它錄得了2千萬元的紙面利潤。因此就這一點來看,並考慮到現金,我們認爲它在短期內並不太風險。在我們看到一些正面的EBIT之前,對這支股票我們有些謹慎,尤其是因爲其收入增長相當適度。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,您應該注意我們發現的欽川機牀刀具集團股份存在的兩個警示信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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