Is Midea Group (SZSE:000333) A Risky Investment?
Is Midea Group (SZSE:000333) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Midea Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000333) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
作爲投資者,有些人認爲波動性而非債務是風險考量中更好的方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」因此,明智的資金應該知道債務——通常與破產有關——是評估公司風險時極其重要的因素之一。與其他許多公司一樣,美的集團有限公司(SZSE:000333)也使用債務。但是,這種債務會對股東構成擔憂嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務可以爲企業提供幫助,直到企業無法通過新資本或者自由現金流償還爲止。最壞的情況下,如果企業無法付清債權人,公司可能會破產。然而,在更爲普遍但仍然代價高昂的情況下,公司必須以折價的價格發行股票,從而永久稀釋股東權益,以解決資產負債表問題。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業而言。當考慮企業使用債務時,我們首先會關注現金和債務的總體情況。
What Is Midea Group's Net Debt?
美的集團的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Midea Group had CN¥67.5b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥74.9b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥97.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥30.5b net cash position.
正如您下面所看到的,截至2024年3月,美的集團的債務總額爲675億元,較去年同期的749億元有所下降。但是,它也擁有979億元的現金,帶來305億元的淨現金頭寸。
A Look At Midea Group's Liabilities
查看美的集團的負債
The latest balance sheet data shows that Midea Group had liabilities of CN¥254.0b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥60.1b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥97.9b and CN¥84.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥132.0b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,美的集團應於一年內到期的負債爲2540億元,到期後一年的負債爲601億元。另一方面,它擁有979億元的現金和841億元的應收款項到期。因此,它的負債比現金和(近期)應收賬款高出1320億元。這種赤字並不嚴重,因爲美的集團價值4282億元,因此如果需要,可能能夠籌集足夠的資金來解決資產負債表問題。但是很明顯,我們應該仔細審查它是否能夠在不稀釋股權的情況下管理其債務。儘管它的負債很顯著,美的集團擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
This deficit isn't so bad because Midea Group is worth a massive CN¥428.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Midea Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
另一個好跡象是,美的集團在十二個月內增加了23%的息稅前利潤(EBIt),這使得償還債務更容易。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但是,未來的盈利,尤其是將決定美的集團是否能夠保持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這篇關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Another good sign is that Midea Group has been able to increase its EBIT by 23% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Midea Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。儘管美的集團在資產負債表上有淨現金,但了解其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力還是值得一看,以幫助我們了解它增加(或減少)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,美的集團實際上產生了比EBIt更多的自由現金流。這種強勁的現金流發生便如同穿上熊蜂裝的小狗一般,使人心曠神怡。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Midea Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Midea Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
儘管美的集團的負債高於流動資產,但它也有305億元的淨現金。此外,它將其EBIt的119%轉化爲自由現金流,帶來560億元的收益。因此,我們認爲美的集團使用的債務並不具有風險。鑑於美的集團擁有健康的資產負債表、盈利和派息,如果可能的話,最好了解其分紅是否在增長。您可以通過單擊此鏈接來立即了解更多。
Summing Up
總之
While Midea Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥30.5b. The cherry on top was that in converted 119% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥56b. So we don't think Midea Group's use of debt is risky. Given Midea Group has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.
美的集團雖然的確有更多的負債,但它也有305億元的淨現金。更美好的是,它將其EBIt的119%轉化爲自由現金流,帶來560億元的收益。因此,我們認爲美的集團使用的債務並不具有風險。鑑於美的集團擁有健康的資產負債表、盈利和派息,如果可能的話,最好了解其分紅是否在增長。您可以通過單擊此鏈接來立即了解更多。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。