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Forget Gold! 1 Silver Stock Riding the Wave Higher!

Forget Gold! 1 Silver Stock Riding the Wave Higher!

忘了黃金!1只白銀股票趁勢飆升!
The Motley Fool ·  07/23 20:15
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The price of gold has been remarkably hot so far this year. And though prices have pulled back in recent sessions, I still think the shiny yellow metal ought to be viewed as a staple in any diversified portfolio aiming to hedge against various risks and black swans over the long run. Nonetheless, some very smart money managers, including the great Warren Buffett himself, aren't huge fans of the asset.

今年黃金價格一直表現出色。儘管價格在最近幾次交易中有所回調,但我仍認爲這種閃閃發光的黃金應被視爲任何多元化投資組合中的重要品種,旨在對抗各種風險和黑天鵝長期運行。然而,包括偉大的禾倫·巴菲特在內的一些非常明智的資產管理人士並不是資產的狂熱追隨者。

Most notably, Buffett notes that gold, while pretty and shiny, is not a productive (income-producing) asset. Undoubtedly, gold just sits there, perhaps costing investors money for secure storage.

特別是,巴菲特指出,金子雖然漂亮閃亮,但並不是創造收入的資產。毫無疑問,黃金只是價格擺上那裏,可能爲安全儲存付出一些代價。

Of course, you could own some gold notes or stash gold bullion underneath the mattress, but doing so probably isn't advisable! In any case, gold has its drawbacks. And worse, it is pretty much impossible to value. It's only worth as much as the next person will pay. But despite its speculative nature, I do view gold as one of the best stores of wealth over extended periods.

當然,你可以擁有一些黃金票據或藏金條於牀墊下,但這樣做可能不可取!無論如何,黃金也有其缺點。更糟糕的是,它幾乎不可能被估值。只有下一個人願意支付的價格就是它的價值。但儘管其具有投機性質,我仍視黃金爲長期內最好的財富儲存之一。

The case for checking out gold and silver miners today

今天值得關注黃金和白銀礦業股

As we've found out over the past couple of years, inflation can take a big bite out of the value of a dollar. And if you're overweight cash, you'll probably feel the full pains of elevated inflation. If inflation is what you foresee, gold may very well be the safe haven asset to stash a portion (let's say around 5% or less) of your portfolio into.

正如我們在過去幾年中所發現的那樣,通貨膨脹可能會大幅削減美元價值。如果你長揸現金,則可能會完全感受到高通脹的痛苦。如果你預期通貨膨脹的話,黃金可能很好地成爲將組合的一部分(比如說5%或更少)藏匿在安全的避風港資產中。

Though I do view the recent 3% slip in gold as buyable, I do view silver as the potentially more profitable precious metal as we head into year's end. Indeed, silver isn't just a poor man's gold. In fact, amid the precious metals rally, silver prices have outdone gold.

儘管我認爲黃金最近下跌3%表現可買,但我認爲白銀作爲更有利可圖的貴金屬,在進入年底階段時也許更有潛力。的確,在貴金屬反彈中,白銀價格已經超過了黃金。

Gold prices are up 16% year to date â a pretty impressive run that could have legs as the Federal Reserve approaches its first interest rate cut. Meanwhile, silver has been up more than 23% year-to-date.

黃金價格今年已經上漲了16%,這是非常不錯的表現,隨着聯邦儲備接近其第一次減息,它可能會延續。與此同時,白銀今年迄今已上漲逾23%。

Indeed, silver has been the shinier of the two metals so far this year. But can silver's outperformance continue into the second half?

的確,白銀至今表現更爲出色。但白銀領先能否延續到下半年?

Only time will tell. Regardless, I do view silver as having more upside from current levels. At this juncture, the shares of silver miners look most intriguing and ready to gain in the back half.

只有時間會告訴我們。無論如何,我認爲白銀的上漲空間更大。在這個節點,銀礦股似乎最有吸引力,並準備在後半年獲得收益。

A cheap silver stock for the second half

下半年一個便宜的白銀股

At the time of writing, shares of First Majestic Silver (TSX:AG), which recently changed its ticker to a more appropriate "AG" (the elemental symbol for silver), look pretty cheap, while it's down over 63% from its early-2021 high.

在撰寫本文時,First Majestic Silver (TSX:AG)的股票價格看起來相當便宜,最近將其交易編號更改爲更合適的“AG”(銀的元素符號),而該股票已從2021年初的高點下跌了63%以上。

At $8 and change, AG stock seems like more of a value trap or falling knife right here. That said, if you're bullish on silver, First Majestic is the way to play it. The company saw production slip in the first quarter but seems positioned for a bounce back at some point down the road. Despite the first-quarter fumble, the company is still en route to hitting its targets for the year.

在8美元左右的價位上,AG股票似乎更像是一個價值陷阱或正處於下跌的刀口。話雖如此,如果你看漲白銀,First Majestic就是其中一種方式。公司在第一季度的產量下降,但似乎已做好了某個時候反彈的準備。儘管第一季度出現失誤,公司仍在努力實現年度目標。

At 3.3 times price-to-sales (P/S), I view the silver mining stock as nothing short of a bargain. But do be ready for excessive choppiness given the higher beta (1.4), which entails more market risk than most other TSX names.

以3.3倍的市銷率(P/S)來看,我認爲銀礦業股票簡直是一個便宜貨。但要爲震盪過度做好準備,因爲其高beta(1.4),意味着比大多數TSX名稱具有更高的市場風險。

The post Forget Gold! 1 Silver Stock Riding the Wave Higher! appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

本文來源於Motley Fool Canada。

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