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New Rules for Grocers: 1 Canadian Grocery Stock That Could Soar

New Rules for Grocers: 1 Canadian Grocery Stock That Could Soar

超市的新規則: 1家可能大幅上漲的加拿大雜貨店股票
The Motley Fool ·  07/23 21:00
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With many Canadian grocers signing on to the new rules outlined by the new Grocery Code of Conduct, questions linger as to whether grocery stocks can still deliver solid results. Indeed, inflation has gotten just a bit out of control in recent years. And though inflation is now at a far tamer sub-3% level, consumers still want to see the grocery heavyweights doing more to offer better prices at the grocery aisle.

隨着許多加拿大雜貨商簽署新的《雜貨行爲守則》概述的新規定,雜貨店是否仍能取得穩健業績的問題依然存在。事實上,近年來通貨膨脹已經有點失控了。儘管通貨膨脹率目前處於低於3%的水平要溫和得多,但消費者仍然希望看到雜貨店巨頭採取更多措施,在雜貨店過道上提供更優惠的價格。

Of course, inflation has been dropping quickly of late, but it still doesn't feel like we've been dealt a break at the grocery store. In large part, that's because the damage from the last few years worth of inflation has been done. Though prices could begin to backtrack down here, especially as grocers sign on with the new code of conduct, investors should be ready to play the long game.

當然,最近通貨膨脹率一直在迅速下降,但感覺我們仍然沒有在雜貨店休息一下。這在很大程度上是因爲過去幾年的通貨膨脹已經造成了損失。儘管這裏的價格可能會開始回落,尤其是在雜貨商簽署新的行爲準則之際,但投資者應該做好長期遊戲的準備。

The code of conduct is a step in the right direction

行爲準則是朝着正確方向邁出的一步

In any case, I think the Code of Conduct is a step in the right direction, not just for consumers but also for the grocers who signed on.

無論如何,我認爲《行爲準則》是朝着正確方向邁出的一步,不僅對消費者而言,對簽約的雜貨商來說也是如此。

Why? A commitment to improve pricing at the grocery store will beckon in more business. With that comes customer satisfaction and repeat business compared to other competitors. And if firms can improve operating efficiencies further, I do think a scenario exists where grocery firms and consumers can prosper.

爲什麼?提高雜貨店定價的承諾將吸引更多的業務。與其他競爭對手相比,隨之而來的是客戶滿意度和回頭客。而且,如果企業能夠進一步提高運營效率,我確實認爲存在雜貨公司和消費者可以蓬勃發展的情況。

Only time will tell if the new rules for grocers lead to soaring prices for the broader basket of Canadian grocery plays. Heck, it's unclear that the new code will even drive prices down as much as regulators hope.

只有時間才能證明針對雜貨商的新規定是否會導致更廣泛的加拿大雜貨店價格飆升。哎呀,目前尚不清楚新守則是否會像監管機構所希望的那樣壓低價格。

Some pundits, like Agri-Food analytics lab researcher Sylvain Charlebois, think that the code will "stabilize food inflation over time" in the ballpark of 1.5 to 2.5%. That's not a ton of difference. Further, it could take time for the relatively modest impact to work its way into prices.

一些專家,例如農業食品分析實驗室研究員西爾萬·查勒波瓦,認爲該守則將 “隨着時間的推移將食品通貨膨脹率穩定在1.5%至2.5%的大致範圍內”。這沒有太大的區別。此外,相對較小的影響可能需要一段時間才能影響價格。

Either way, new investors shouldn't look to trade the grocery plays over the new code of conduct here, as they could prove rather turbulent as the last "round" of inflation plays out. Instead, it makes sense to consider well-run grocers that can fare well, regardless of the environment ahead.

無論哪種方式,新投資者都不應該試圖用雜貨店來交易這裏的新行爲準則,因爲隨着最後一輪 “一輪” 通貨膨脹的到來,他們可能會變得相當動盪。相反,考慮經營良好的雜貨店是有意義的,無論未來環境如何,這些雜貨店都能表現良好。

Also, with inflation winding down and grocers ready to offer shoppers more relief, I'd much rather play the grocery stocks for the extremely long term (think three years at minimum).

此外,隨着通貨膨脹的逐漸減弱,雜貨商準備爲購物者提供更多救濟,我寧願長揸雜貨股(想想至少三年)。

Without further ado, here is one intriguing grocery play with an impressive value proposition at the time of this writing.

事不宜遲,在撰寫本文時,這是一部有趣的雜貨店遊戲,其價值主張令人印象深刻。

Metro

地鐵

Metro (TSX:MRU) stock has already been soaring in recent weeks, thanks in part to some pretty decent results. For the latest quarter, profit slipped by around 14.5%, primarily due to supply chain bets. The good news is that the hit from supply chain investments was already expected going into the big quarterly reveal. In any case, such investments should help Metro sustainably drive margins while allowing it to offer even better prices at stores.

最近幾周,麥德龍(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:MRU)的股票已經飆升,這在一定程度上要歸功於一些相當不錯的業績。最近一個季度,利潤下降了約14.5%,這主要是由於供應鏈押注。好消息是,在重要的季度披露中,供應鏈投資的衝擊已經預料到了。無論如何,此類投資應有助於麥德龍可持續地提高利潤率,同時使其能夠在門店提供更優惠的價格。

It's hard to believe, but over the past year, shares of MRU are up a whopping 9.1%. Despite the surge, I still think there's room to the upside, as the firm looks to improve its supply chain efficiencies further. At 19.2 times, trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) also looks like a relative bargain hiding in plain sight.

很難相信,但在過去的一年中,MRU的股價上漲了9.1%。儘管激增,但我仍然認爲還有上行空間,因爲該公司希望進一步提高其供應鏈效率。追蹤市盈率(P/E)爲19.2倍,看起來也像是顯而易見的相對便宜的價格。

Bottom line

底線

New code of conduct or not, Metro stock looks primed for performance as we head into the late-summer months. Its big bets on the supply chain could lead to long-lasting gains that I think may yet to be fully factored into the stock.

不管是否有新的行爲準則,在我們進入夏末之際,麥德龍的股票看起來已經爲表現做好了準備。它在供應鏈上的大賭注可能會帶來長期的收益,我認爲股票可能尚未將其充分考慮在內。

The post New Rules for Grocers: 1 Canadian Grocery Stock That Could Soar appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

《雜貨商新規則:1只可能飆升的加拿大雜貨股》一文首次出現在《加拿大Motley Fool》上。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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