Rekor Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:REKR) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 35% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Rekor Systems' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Software industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Rekor Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Rekor Systems has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Rekor Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Rekor Systems' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 67%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 225% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 65% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 14% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Rekor Systems is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Rekor Systems' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Rekor Systems currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Rekor Systems that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com