International Flavors & Fragrances (NYSE:IFF) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
International Flavors & Fragrances (NYSE:IFF) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (NYSE:IFF) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,審視其資產負債表是很自然的選擇,因爲債務往往是一家企業崩潰時的主要問題。我們可以看到國際香料香精公司(紐交所:IFF)在業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這種債務是否讓該公司變得更加危險。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才真正成爲問題,無論是通過募集資金還是自己的現金流。 在最壞的情況下,一家公司如果無法償還債權人的債務,就會破產。 然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以減價的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。 話雖如此,最常見的情況是,一家公司合理地管理其債務-併爲其自身的利益服務。 考慮企業使用多少債務的第一件事是查看其現金和債務。
What Is International Flavors & Fragrances's Debt?
國際香料香精公司的債務情況是怎樣的?
As you can see below, International Flavors & Fragrances had US$10.3b of debt at March 2024, down from US$11.3b a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$732.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$9.57b.
如下所示,截至2024年3月,國際香料香精公司的債務總額爲103億美元,而一年前爲113億美元。在另一方面,它有7320萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲95.7億美元。
How Healthy Is International Flavors & Fragrances' Balance Sheet?
國際香料香精公司的資產負債表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that International Flavors & Fragrances had liabilities of US$3.82b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$12.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$732.0m as well as receivables valued at US$2.15b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$13.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
在查看最新的資產負債表數據時,我們可以看到國際香料香精公司有近期到期的負債約爲38.2億美元,超過12個月到期的負債125億美元。相對應的,它有7320萬美元的現金,以及價值21.5億美元的應收賬款,其中12個月內到期的爲超短期應收賬款,因此其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出134億美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because International Flavors & Fragrances is worth a massive US$25.1b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
這種赤字並不是很糟糕,因爲國際香料香精公司的價值高達251億美元,因此如果需要,它可能可以籌集足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。然而,仍有必要仔細研究其償債能力。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過查看淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比以及計算其利息支出由收益前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋的程度來度量一家公司的債務負載相對於其收益能力的程度。此方法的優點在於我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(以淨債務爲EBITDA)以及與該債務相關的實際利息支出(以其利息覆蓋倍數計算)。
Weak interest cover of 1.8 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.4 hit our confidence in International Flavors & Fragrances like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, International Flavors & Fragrances saw its EBIT tank 30% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if International Flavors & Fragrances can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
1.8倍的弱利息覆蓋率以及5.4倍的高淨債務/EBITDA比率像兩連擊一樣打擊了我們對國際香料香精公司的信心,這意味着我們認爲其負債過重。更糟糕的是,國際香料香精公司上一年的EBIt急劇下降30%。如果收益持續像這樣下降,它就沒有還清債務的可能了。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個顯然的起點。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定國際香料香精公司是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想查看專業人士的意見,你可能會發現這份免費的分析師利潤預測報告很有意思。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, International Flavors & Fragrances produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙質利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們總是會核實多少EBIt被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,國際香料香精公司產生了相當可靠的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的62%,這與我們的預期相當。這些冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少其債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both International Flavors & Fragrances's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that International Flavors & Fragrances's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with International Flavors & Fragrances (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
坦白地說,國際香料香精公司的利息覆蓋率和EBIt收益缺乏增長並沒有讓我們對其債務水平感到舒適。但從積極的一方面來看,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力是一個好跡象,並讓我們更加樂觀。從更大的視角來看,我們認爲國際香料香精公司使用債務正在爲該公司帶來風險。如果一切順利,這應該會增加收益,但反過來,債務的風險也會加劇導致公司可能被永久性資本損失的風險。顯然,資產負債表是處理債務分析的領域。但最終,每個公司都可能存在超越資產負債表的風險。我們已經辨別出了國際香料香精公司的2個警示信號(至少有1個有點令人擔憂),理解它們應該成爲你的投資過程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。