Autoliv's (NYSE:ALV) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 8.8% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Autoliv's (NYSE:ALV) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 8.8% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
While Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE:ALV) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 16% in the last quarter. But at least the stock is up over the last five years. In that time, it is up 36%, which isn't bad, but is below the market return of 96%.
雖然Autoliv公司(紐交所:ALV)的股東們可能大體上感到高興,但股票最近表現不佳,上個季度股價下跌了16%。但至少股票在過去的五年裏上漲了36%,這並不差,但低於市場回報率的96%。
While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
雖然過去的一週削弱了公司的五年回報,但讓我們看看業務的最近趨勢,並查看收益是否已對齊。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:短期內市場是一個投票機,但長期來看它是一個稱重機。評估公司周邊環境的情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Autoliv achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 23% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 6% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.
在股價增長的五年中,奧托立夫實現了每股收益23%的複合增長率。與同期年度股價漲幅6%相比,EPS增長更爲驚人。因此,市場似乎對該公司相對悲觀。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(通過點擊圖像來查看確切數值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Autoliv's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬比同等規模的公司的中位數還要低。關注CEO的薪酬始終是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否會在這些年裏增長盈利。如果你希望進一步調查該股票,可以看一下Autoliv的盈利、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Autoliv, it has a TSR of 52% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
對於任何一隻股票,重要的是考慮到股東總收益以及股票價格回報。儘管股票價格回報只反映了股票價格的變化,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或剝離的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報率高得多。在Autoliv的情況下,它在過去五年裏的TSR爲52%,超過了我們之前提到的股票價格回報率。公司支付的股息因此提高了總股東收益。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Investors in Autoliv had a tough year, with a total loss of 1.3% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 19%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Autoliv .
奧托立夫的投資者在過去的一年裏遭受了不小的損失,總虧損率爲1.3%(包括股息),而市場卻獲得了約19%的收益。然而,請記住即使最好的股票有時也會在十二個月的時間裏表現不佳。好消息是,長期股東賺錢了,半個十年的年增長率爲9%。近期股市的下跌可能是一個機會,因此值得關注基本數據是否顯示了長期增長趨勢的跡象。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響確實值得考慮,但有其他因素更加重要。因此,您應該意識到我們在奧托立夫發現的2個警告信號。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。