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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Fu Shou Yuan International Group Limited (HKG:1448)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Fu Shou Yuan International Group Limited (HKG:1448)?

股票下跌且基礎良好:市場對福壽園國際控股有限公司(港股代碼:1448)是否錯判?
Simply Wall St ·  07/25 18:28

It is hard to get excited after looking at Fu Shou Yuan International Group's (HKG:1448) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.3% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE today.

看完福壽園國際集團(HKG:1448)在最近三個月裏股價下跌了9.3%後,我們很難感到興奮。但是,股票價格通常受公司長期的財務業績推動,在這種情況下,前景相當有希望。特別是,今天我們將密切關注福壽園國際集團的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(roe)是衡量公司經營管理層如何有效利用公司資本的關鍵指標。換言之,它是一種利潤率,衡量由公司股東提供的資本的回報率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fu Shou Yuan International Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,福壽園國際集團的ROE爲:

15% = CN¥976m ÷ CN¥6.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

15%= CN¥ 97600萬÷ CN¥ 66億(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.15 in profit.

“回報率”是公司過去一年所賺取的收入。一個概念化的方法是,對於每HK$1的股東資本,公司的盈利爲HK$0.15。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE對於盈利增長的重要性是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定roe是公司未來盈利的高效衡量標準。根據公司選擇重新投資或“保留”利潤的數量,我們可以評估公司未來盈利能力。一般來說,在其他條件相等的情況下,roe和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司增長率更高。

Fu Shou Yuan International Group's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

福壽園國際集團的盈利增長和15%的ROE

To start with, Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 15% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Fu Shou Yuan International Group's moderate 9.5% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

首先,福壽園國際集團的ROE看起來還可以。即使與15%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的ROE看起來也相當不錯。這可能在一定程度上解釋了福壽園國際集團過去五年中溫和的9.5%增長以及其他因素。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Fu Shou Yuan International Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 5.7% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,當與行業淨收入增長進行比較時,我們發現與同一時期業內平均增長5.7%相比,福壽園國際集團的增長相當高,這是非常好的。

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SEHK:1448 Past Earnings Growth July 25th 2024
SEHK:1448過去盈利增長2024年7月25日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Fu Shou Yuan International Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是評估股票價值時必須考慮的重要指標。投資者應該試圖確定預期的盈利增長或下降(無論哪種情況),並確定股票未來的前景是光明還是黯淡。預期盈利增長的一個好指標是P / E比率,該比率根據股票的盈利前景確定市場願意支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查福壽園國際集團是通過較高的P / E還是較低的P / E進行交易,相對於所在的行業。

Is Fu Shou Yuan International Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

福壽園國際集團是否有效利用其利潤?

Fu Shou Yuan International Group has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

如上所述,福壽園國際集團具有適度的三年中位數派息比率爲34%(或66%的保留比率)和可觀的盈利增長,這意味着該公司一直在有效利用其利潤。

Additionally, Fu Shou Yuan International Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 33%. As a result, Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 16% for future ROE.

此外,福壽園國際集團已經連續十年派發股息,這意味着該公司非常重視與股東分享其利潤。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,未來三年該公司的派息比率預計約爲33%。因此,從分析師對未來ROE的估計爲16%推斷,福壽園國際集團的ROE預計不會有太大改變。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with Fu Shou Yuan International Group's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們對福壽園國際集團的表現感到非常滿意。特別是,公司正在大力投資其業務,並且與高回報率一起,這導致了盈利的大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的盈利預計將加速增長。要了解更多關於該公司未來盈利增長預測的信息,請參閱關於該公司的分析師預測的免費報告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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