MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理陸松利(享有查理•芒格的支持)曾說過,“最大的投資風險不是價格波動而是是否會承受永久性資本損失。”因此,看起來明智的投資方知道,通常涉及破產的債務是評估公司風險的非常重要的因素。我們注意到,美高梅國際(NYSE:MGM)在其資產負債表上確實存在債務。但是,股東應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之中。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是公司必須以跳樓價發行股票,永久性稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,債務可以是企業尤其是資本重的企業的重要工具。考慮一家公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務視爲一體。
What Is MGM Resorts International's Debt?
什麼是美高梅國際的債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MGM Resorts International had debt of US$6.27b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$6.88b over a year. However, it also had US$2.72b in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.55b.
下面的圖片(可單擊以獲得更多詳細信息)顯示,截至2024年3月底,美高梅國際的債務爲62.7億美元,較前一年的68.8億美元減少。但是,它還擁有27.2億美元的現金,所以淨債務爲35.5億美元。
How Strong Is MGM Resorts International's Balance Sheet?
美高梅國際的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, MGM Resorts International had liabilities of US$3.03b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$35.0b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$2.72b in cash and US$1.02b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$34.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根據最近公佈的資產負債表,美高梅國際的流動負債爲30.3億美元,長期負債爲350億美元。相應地,它有27.2億美元的現金和10.2億美元的應收票據,在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額超過現金和短期應收票據的總和343億美元。
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$13.3b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, MGM Resorts International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
這個缺口像一個龐然大物般籠罩着這家133億美元的公司。毫無疑問,我們會密切關注它的資產負債表。歸根到底,如果債權人要求償還,美高梅國際可能需要進行重大資本重組。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。
While MGM Resorts International's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.4 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.1 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Although MGM Resorts International made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated US$1.7b in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MGM Resorts International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
儘管美高梅國際低的債務/ EBITDA比率1.4表明只有適度的債務使用,但去年EBIT僅覆蓋了利息費用的6.1倍,這確實讓我們有所顧慮。因此,我們建議密切關注融資成本對業務的影響。儘管美高梅國際去年在EBIT水平上虧損,但能看到它在過去十二個月內獲得了17億美元的EBIT也是不錯的。當您分析債務時,明顯的要點是資產負債表。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定美高梅國際能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,您可以查看這份免費報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, MGM Resorts International generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最後,公司只能用冷硬的現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。因此,檢查收益之前的利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)有多少是由自由現金流支持的也是值得的。在過去的一年裏,美高梅國際產生了非常強勁的EBIT的自由現金流,相當於其EBIT的94%,超出了我們的預期。這使該公司處於非常強大的償還債務的位置。
Our View
我們的觀點
Neither MGM Resorts International's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that MGM Resorts International is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for MGM Resorts International that you should be aware of before investing here.
美高梅國際處理其總負債的能力以及其EBIT增長率都沒有讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力有信心。但是,從EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的情況則講述了一個完全不同的故事,並表明了一定的韌性。當我們考慮所有討論過的因素時,我們認爲美高梅國際在使用債務方面面臨一些風險。儘管債務可以提高回報率,但我們認爲該公司現在已經具有足夠的槓桿效應。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,最終,每個公司都可能存在平衡表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了3個警告標誌,需要您在投資之前意識到。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。