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Evergy (NASDAQ:EVRG) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Evergy (NASDAQ:EVRG) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

西星能源(納斯達克:EVRG)的債務使用可能被視爲風險
Simply Wall St ·  07/26 14:12

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Evergy, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVRG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性和風險遠非同義詞。”因此,現在聰明的人都知道,在評估公司風險時,通常會涉及到破產債務,這是一個非常重要的因素。像許多其他公司一樣,Evergy股份有限公司(NASDAQ:EVRG)也使用了債務。但這筆債務會成爲股東的擔憂嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,無論是通過籌集資金還是通過自身的現金流,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,一個更頻繁的(但仍然昂貴的)情況是,公司必須以折扣價發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以鞏固其資產負債表。然而,通過替換稀釋,債務可以成爲企業在高回報率上投資需要資本的極好工具。考慮企業使用多少債務時,第一件要做的是看其現金和債務的總和。

How Much Debt Does Evergy Carry?

Evergy股份有限公司承擔了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Evergy had US$13.6b of debt, up from US$12.4b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

正如下面所示,在2024年3月底,Evergy有136億美元的債務,比一年前的124億美元增加。點擊圖像以了解更多詳細信息。淨債務相同,因爲它沒有多少現金。

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NasdaqGS:EVRG Debt to Equity History July 26th 2024
NasdaqGS:EVRG權益負債歷史圖表 2024年7月26日

A Look At Evergy's Liabilities

看看Evergy的負債情況

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Evergy had liabilities of US$3.19b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$18.4b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$63.7m in cash and US$175.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$21.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Evergy有319億美元的負債,在12個月內到期,並且有184億美元的負債超過該期限。抵消這一點的是,它有6370萬美元的現金和17530萬美元的應收賬款應在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多214億美元。這種不足會嚴重影響這家規模爲129億美元的公司,就像一個孩子揹着裝滿了書、體育用品和小號的巨大揹包一樣。因此,我們會密切關注其資產負債表,毫無疑問。最終,如果Evergy的債權人要求償還款項,它可能需要進行重大再融資。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$12.9b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Evergy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

Evergy股東面臨一兩個大問題:高達5.7的高淨債務/EBITDA比率,以及相對薄弱的利息覆蓋率,因爲EBIt僅是利息支出的2.4倍。這裏的債務負擔很重。更令人不安的是,Evergy實際上讓其EBIt在過去一年中下降了4.0%。如果該收益趨勢持續下去,公司將面臨支付債務的艱辛之路。顯然,在分析債務時,資產負債表是明顯需要關注的領域。但是,最終企業未來的盈利能力將決定Evergy是否能夠逐漸加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。

Evergy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even more troubling is the fact that Evergy actually let its EBIT decrease by 4.0% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Evergy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,雖然稅務局可能喜歡會計利潤,但借款人只接受冰冷的現金。因此,我們明顯需要查看EBIt是否導致相應的自由現金流量。在過去的三年中,Evergy燒掉了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑期望局面在適當的時候會扭轉,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用更加冒險。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Evergy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

從表面上看,Evergy將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流量的情況使我們對該股持觀望態度,並且其總負債的水平與最繁忙的一年中唯一的一家空蕩蕩的餐廳一樣令人望而生畏。而且,其利息覆蓋率也未能增強信心。另外,值得注意的是,Evergy處於電力公用事業產業,這通常被認爲是相當具有防禦性的。在考慮了所討論的數據點之後,我們認爲Evergy的債務過高。雖然一些投資者喜歡這種冒險投資,但這肯定不是我們的選擇。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯需要關注的地方。但是,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,Evergy有2個警告信號(和1個與我們不太合適的信號)我們認爲你應該知道。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Evergy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. It's also worth noting that Evergy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Evergy has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Evergy has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性和風險遠非同義詞。”因此,現在聰明的人都知道,在評估公司風險時,通常會涉及到破產債務,這是一個非常重要的因素。像許多其他公司一樣,Evergy股份有限公司(NASDAQ:EVRG)也使用了債務。但這筆債務會成爲股東的擔憂嗎?一般來說,只有在公司無法輕易地通過籌集資本或自有現金流來還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人會接管該企業。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以此來加強其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要以高速回報投資發展的企業的極好工具。考慮企業使用多少債務的第一件事是查看其現金和債務的整個結合情況。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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