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Is Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology (SHSE:600522) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology (SHSE:600522) Using Too Much Debt?

江蘇中天科技(SHSE:600522)是否使用過多債務?
Simply Wall St ·  07/26 19:16

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600522) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理陸奇(受查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是你是否會承受永久性資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它使用的債務,因爲債務過重可能會導致破產。我們可以看到,江蘇中天科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600522)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否會使公司變得更加有風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還貸款,則存在於貸款人的控制下。資本主義的一個關鍵環節是“創造性破壞”,即銀行家無情地清算失敗的企業。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業必須以較低的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,在企業中,債務可以是一種重要的工具,尤其是對於有資本需求的企業。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是將其現金和債務結合在一起。

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Carry?

江蘇中天科技承擔了多少債務?

As you can see below, Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology had CN¥5.34b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥12.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥7.60b net cash position.

正如下面所示,截至2024年3月,江蘇中天科技有53.4億人民幣的債務,與前一年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表以查看更詳細信息。但另一方面,它也有129億人民幣的現金,導致淨現金爲76億人民幣。

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SHSE:600522 Debt to Equity History July 26th 2024
SHSE:600522資產負債率歷史記錄2024年7月26日

How Strong Is Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's Balance Sheet?

江蘇中天科技的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology had liabilities of CN¥17.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.12b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥12.9b in cash and CN¥15.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥9.47b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

如果我們仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們會發現江蘇中天科技有172億人民幣的負債需要在12個月內償還,212億元的負債需要在12個月後償還。與此相對應的是,它持有129億元的現金和159億元的應收賬款,這些都需要在12個月內償還。因此,它可以擁有947億元的流動資產,比總負債多。

It's good to see that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

很高興看到江蘇中天科技的資產負債表上有足夠的流動性,表明負債的管理較爲保守。考慮到它具有充足的短期流動性,我們認爲它不會與貸款人產生任何問題。簡潔地說,江蘇中天科技具有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

But the other side of the story is that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology saw its EBIT decline by 8.5% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

但事情的另一面是,江蘇中天科技在去年看到其EBIt下降了8.5%。如果收益以那種速度繼續下降,公司的債務負擔可能會越來越大。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,更重要的是未來的收益,這將決定江蘇中天科技保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費報告,其中顯示分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,公司只能用實打實的現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。江蘇中天科技的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但是看一下該公司把利潤前利息和稅前EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的能力有多強,這很有意義,因爲這將影響它管理債務的需要和能力。在過去的三年中,江蘇中天科技的自由現金流爲其EBIt的34%,這比我們預期的要弱。這在償還債務時不是很好。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology has net cash of CN¥7.60b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's debt use. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's earnings per share history for free.

雖然我們理解那些擔心債務的投資者,但是您應該記住,江蘇中天科技有76億人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。因此,我們對江蘇中天科技的債務使用沒有困擾。最重要的指標之一是,要跟蹤每股收益的增長速度,如果在增長,那就更好了。如果您已經意識到這一點,那麼您很幸運,因爲今天您可以免費查看江蘇中天科技每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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