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Zhejiang Runtu (SZSE:002440) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Zhejiang Runtu (SZSE:002440) Could Easily Take On More Debt

閏土股份(SZSE:002440)可以輕鬆承擔更多債務。
Simply Wall St ·  07/29 20:01

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Zhejiang Runtu Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002440) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

作爲投資者,有人認爲波動性而不是負債是考慮風險的最佳方法,但是禾倫·巴菲特出名地說“波動性遠非風險的同義詞”。 因此,當你考慮任何給定的股票有多大風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。 與許多其他公司一樣,浙江閏土股份有限公司(股票代碼:002440)利用債務。 但是,這些債務是否會讓股東擔憂呢?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還債權人,那麼企業就處於他們的掌控之下。資本主義的重要組成部分之一是“創造性破壞”的過程,失敗的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更頻繁的(但仍然代價高昂的)情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東權益,以此來支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以是企業的重要工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業來說。在考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務合併考慮。

What Is Zhejiang Runtu's Debt?

浙江閏土的債務情況如何?

As you can see below, Zhejiang Runtu had CN¥842.7m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥1.01b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.15b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.30b net cash.

如下所示,2024年3月,閏土股份負債84270萬元,相比去年同期101億元降低。然而,閏土股份的資產負債表顯示其持有21.5億元的現金,因此其淨現金爲13億元。

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SZSE:002440 Debt to Equity History July 30th 2024
2024年7月30日浙江閏土股份的債轉股情況?

How Strong Is Zhejiang Runtu's Balance Sheet?

浙江閏土的資產負責表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zhejiang Runtu had liabilities of CN¥1.79b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥353.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.15b in cash and CN¥2.46b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.46b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,閏土股份短期內到期的負債爲1.79億元,之後到期的負債爲3532萬元。除此之外,其應收賬款12個月內到期爲24.6億元。因此,其易流動性資產超過總負債24.6億元。

This surplus liquidity suggests that Zhejiang Runtu's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Zhejiang Runtu boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種剩餘的流動性資產表明,閏土股份的資產負債表可能像霍默·辛普森的頭一樣承受打擊。考慮到這一事實,我們認爲其資產負債表像牛一樣強大。簡單地說,閏土股份擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It is just as well that Zhejiang Runtu's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 28% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Runtu's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

閏土股份的財務負擔不重要,因爲過去一年其息稅前利潤下降了28%。當涉及到償還債務時,下降的盈利不會對你的健康有任何比甜味可樂更有用的東西。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益才是決定閏土股份能否保持健康資產負債表的關鍵。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,在分析師利潤預測的免費報告中,你可能會發現有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Zhejiang Runtu may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zhejiang Runtu generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,公司需要自由現金流來償還債務,會計利潤並不能解決問題。閏土股份雖然在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但仍有必要看看其息稅前利潤(EBIT)與自由現金流的轉化率,因爲這將影響到其管理債務的需求和能力。在過去的三年中,閏土股份產生了非常強勁的自由現金流,金額達到其EBIT的81%,高於我們的預期。這使其有能力償還債務。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Zhejiang Runtu has CN¥1.30b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of -CN¥193m, being 81% of its EBIT. So is Zhejiang Runtu's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zhejiang Runtu (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然調查公司的債務是總有道理的,但在這種情況下,閏土股份擁有13億元的淨現金和一個外觀良好的資產負債表。它給我們留下了81%的EBIT爲-1.93億元的自由現金流的印象。那麼閏土股份的債務是風險嗎?我們認爲並不是。毫無疑問,資產負債表可以讓我們了解有關債務的大部分信息。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。我們已經確定了閏土股份的3個警示標誌(其中至少有1個讓我們有點不舒服),了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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