These 4 Measures Indicate That Beiqi Foton MotorLtd (SHSE:600166) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Beiqi Foton MotorLtd (SHSE:600166) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Beiqi Foton Motor Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600166) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍華德•馬克斯非常恰當地說過,與其擔心股價波動,不如擔心永久損失的可能性......我知道的每個實際投資者都在擔心這個問題。因此,聰明的投資者知道,債務——通常涉及破產——是評估一家公司風險有多大的非常重要因素之一。與許多其他公司一樣,北汽福田汽車股份有限公司(SHSE:600166)利用債務。但是這個債務會讓股東們感到擔憂嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還債權人,則它存在於債權人的掌控之中。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還其債權人,則會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是它需要以較低的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東的權益。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以是企業在需要以高回報投資於增長的資本方面非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要看它的現金和債務的結合。
What Is Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's Net Debt?
北汽福田汽車股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Beiqi Foton MotorLtd had CN¥4.47b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥7.20b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.73b.
下面的圖表顯示了北汽福田汽車股份有限公司在2024年3月有447億元的債務,與去年大致相同。然而,它有720億元的現金抵消這一點,淨現金爲273億元。
A Look At Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's Liabilities
看北汽福田汽車股份有限公司的負債
According to the last reported balance sheet, Beiqi Foton MotorLtd had liabilities of CN¥32.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥4.95b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥7.20b and CN¥10.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥19.9b.
根據最近一份資產負債表,北汽福田汽車股份有限公司在12個月內有322億元的負債,超過12個月的負債爲49.5億元。另一方面,它有72億元的現金和100億元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債比其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和多出199億元。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥21.2b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Beiqi Foton MotorLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
相對於其市值212億元,這是一座巨大的槓桿。如果其放貸方要求其加強資產負債表,股東們可能會面臨嚴重的攤薄。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但北汽福田汽車股份有限公司有比債務更多的現金,因此我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。
Although Beiqi Foton MotorLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥104m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
儘管北汽福田汽車股份有限公司去年在利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前虧損,但去年它也創造了1.04億元人民幣的利潤。明顯資產負債表是需要關注的領域,當你分析債務時需要聚焦於此。但是,未來的收入,更勝過任何東西,將決定北汽福田汽車股份有限公司保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Beiqi Foton MotorLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last year, Beiqi Foton MotorLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,一個企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能完全解決這個問題。北汽福田汽車股份有限公司可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看看企業將其利潤之前的利息和稅(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的效率情況,還是很有趣的,因爲這將影響其管理債務的能力和需求。在過去的一年中,北汽福田汽車股份有限公司燒錢很多。雖然投資者無疑希望在適當的情況下逆轉這種情況,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更大。
Summing Up
總之
Although Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥2.73b. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Beiqi Foton MotorLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管北汽福田汽車股份有限公司的資產負債表不太強,由於它的總負債,它很明顯擁有2.73億元的淨現金。因此,儘管我們看到了一些需要改進的地方,但我們並不太擔心北汽福田汽車股份有限公司的資產負債表。當然,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們在此發現了北汽福田汽車股份有限公司的一個警告信號,您在投資之前應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
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