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Health Check: How Prudently Does Peking University Resources (Holdings) (HKG:618) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Peking University Resources (Holdings) (HKG:618) Use Debt?

健康檢查:北京大學資源(控股)(HKG:618)如何審慎地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  07/30 18:55

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Peking University Resources (Holdings) Company Limited (HKG:618) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

作爲投資者,有人認爲波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。當你審查一個公司的風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲當業務崩潰時往往涉及債務。重要的是,北京大學資源股份有限公司(港股:618)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當一家公司無法用自由現金流或者以有吸引力的價格籌集資本時,債務和其他負債對公司就是風險。最糟糕的情況是公司破產無法償還債權人。然而,較爲常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是該公司必須以低價發行新的股本,從而永久性稀釋股東利益。但是說句公道話,最常見的情況是公司在合理控制債務方面做得很好,並且能夠讓債務對公司形成有利。因此,在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是考慮現金和債務的總金額。

What Is Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s Net Debt?

北京大學資源(控股)公司的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Peking University Resources (Holdings) had CN¥1.75b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.92b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥890.2m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥857.9m.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,北京大學資源(控股)公司有17.5億人民幣的債務,比一年前的19.2億人民幣減少。然而,由於它有8902萬人民幣的現金儲備,所以其淨債務較少,約爲8579萬人民幣。

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SEHK:618 Debt to Equity History July 30th 2024
SEHK:618的資產負債率歷史記錄(2024年7月30日)

How Healthy Is Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s Balance Sheet?

北京大學資源(控股)公司的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Peking University Resources (Holdings) had liabilities of CN¥7.68b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.34b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥890.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥224.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥7.90b.

根據最後報告的資產負債表,北京大學資源(控股)公司在12個月內有7680萬人民幣的到期債務和1340萬人民幣的超過12個月的到期債務。抵消這些義務,它擁有890.2萬人民幣的現金儲備以及2246萬人民幣的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和,達到79億元人民幣。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥1.00b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Peking University Resources (Holdings) would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Peking University Resources (Holdings) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這裏的缺陷嚴重影響了10億元人民幣的公司本身,就像一個孩子揹着一個裝滿書、體育用品和小號的巨大揹包在掙扎一樣。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。畢竟,如果北京大學資源(控股)公司今天必須支付其債權人,那麼它可能需要進行大規模的再資本化。顯然,資產負債表是你分析債務的重點。但是,你不能將債務完全孤立地看待;因爲北京大學資源(控股)公司將需要利潤來支付債務。因此,如果你想更多地了解其利潤,也許可以查看長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Peking University Resources (Holdings) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 72%, to CN¥1.4b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在過去的一年中,北京大學資源(控股)公司的利息和稅前損失,實際上將其營業收入減少了72%,即1.4億人民幣。這讓我們感到非常緊張。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

While Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥495m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥786m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Peking University Resources (Holdings) (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

儘管北京大學資源(控股)公司的收入減少與溼毛巾一樣令人心碎,但其息稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損甚至更不吸引人。實際上,它在EBIt層面上損失了49500萬元人民幣。當你將這個與上面提到的非常重要的資產負債表負債相結合時,我們對它非常謹慎,以至於我們基本上找不到合適的詞語。當然,公司可能有一個關於如何迎接更光明未來的好故事。但現實是,與負債相比,其流動資產較低,而且去年虧損了78600萬元人民幣。因此,我們認爲購買這隻股票是有風險的。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。但是,最終,每個公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。這些風險很難被發現。每個公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了北京大學資源(控股)公司的2個警示信號(其中1個讓我們有點不舒服!),你應該知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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