share_log

V.F (NYSE:VFC) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

V.F (NYSE:VFC) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

V.F(紐交所:VFC)的債務使用可能被認爲是有風險的。
Simply Wall St ·  07/31 06:19

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, V.F. Corporation (NYSE:VFC) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有些人認爲,投資者必須以波動性(volatility)而非債務來衡量投資風險,但禾倫・巴菲特(Warren Buffett)出名地表示,“波動性和風險遠非同義詞。”因此,當你考慮到任何給定股票有多大的風險時,必須考慮到債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。值得注意的是,V.F. Corporation(紐交所:VFC)確實揹負着債務。但是,這筆債務對股東而言是否成爲擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一家企業無力償還其貸款人,那麼它就存在於貸款人的垂青下。 最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能將一無所獲。 儘管這並不是很常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲貸款人強制要求以危機時的價格籌集資金而永久稀釋股東。 話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,以其自身利益爲基礎。 考慮企業使用多少債務時要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務綜合考慮。

What Is V.F's Net Debt?

V.F淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that V.F had debt of US$5.95b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$6.63b over a year. However, it also had US$676.9m in cash, and so its net debt is US$5.27b.

下面的圖片,點擊可以查看更多細節,顯示V.F.在2024年3月底擁有59.5億美元的債務,一年來減少了6.63億美元。但它也擁有676.9萬美元的現金,因此其淨債務是52.7億美元。

big
NYSE:VFC Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024
NYSE:VFC股權負債歷史記錄於2024年7月31日

How Healthy Is V.F's Balance Sheet?

V.F的財務狀況如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that V.F had liabilities of US$3.46b due within a year, and liabilities of US$6.50b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$676.9m as well as receivables valued at US$1.30b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$7.97b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,V.F.的負債包括需在一年內償還的3.46億美元,以及之後需償還的6.5億美元。與此相對,它擁有6,769萬美元的現金和價值1.3億美元的應12個月內到期應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合還多797億美元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$6.36b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

考慮到這個缺口超過公司636億美元的市值,你可能會傾向於仔細審查資產負債表。假設,如果公司被迫以當前股價籌資償還其債務,則需要進行大量發行股票以稀釋股權。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了衡量公司相對於其收益的債務情況,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨負債與 EBITDA),又考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6, it's fair to say V.F does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 2.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Even worse, V.F saw its EBIT tank 41% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine V.F's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

淨債務與息稅前利潤和折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率爲5.6,可以說V.F.確實擁有大量的債務。但其2.8的利息保障倍數還是比較強的,這是一個好兆頭。更糟的是,在過去12個月中,V.F.的EBIT下降了41%。如果收益繼續保持這樣的水平,它就沒有可能償還那筆債務。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益而不是其他任何因素,將決定V.F.今後是否能維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的分析師利潤預測報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, V.F reported free cash flow worth 13% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但只有冰冷的現金會得到貸款人的認可。因此,值得檢查V.F.資產負債表中有多少EBIT由自由現金流所支持。在過去三年中,V.F.報告了價值13%EBIT的自由現金流,這實際很低。對我們而言,這樣的現金轉換率引發了一些關於該公司熄滅債務能力的擔憂。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both V.F's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like V.F has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for V.F (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地說,V.F.的淨債務與息稅前利潤和折舊及攤銷前利潤比率及其會否擴大EBIT都讓我們對其債務水平感到不安。此外,其利息覆蓋也未能激發信心。考慮到所有上述因素,V.F.的債務太多了。雖然一些投資者喜歡這種冒險,但卻一定不是我們的首選。毋庸置疑的是我們從資產負債表中了解到大部分債務。但並不是所有的投資風險都在資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們發現了2個V.F.的警示信號(其中1個非常重要!)在你投資之前應該了解。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論