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Is Samudera Shipping Line (SGX:S56) A Risky Investment?

Is Samudera Shipping Line (SGX:S56) A Risky Investment?

三洋航運(新加坡交易所:S56)是否是一項高風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/31 19:40

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Samudera Shipping Line Ltd (SGX:S56) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,薩穆德拉航運有限公司(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:S56)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的一部分是 “創造性毀滅” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Samudera Shipping Line's Debt?

Samudera Shipping Line的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Samudera Shipping Line had US$63.3m of debt, an increase on US$27.5m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has US$312.7m in cash, leading to a US$249.4m net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年6月,薩穆德拉航運公司在一年內有6,330萬美元的債務,比2750萬美元增加了債務。但另一方面,它也有3.127億美元的現金,淨現金狀況爲2.494億美元。

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SGX:S56 Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024
2024 年 7 月 31 日 SGX: S56 債券與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Samudera Shipping Line's Balance Sheet?

薩穆德拉航運公司的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Samudera Shipping Line had liabilities of US$114.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$183.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$312.7m in cash and US$82.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$97.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,薩穆德拉航運公司的負債爲1.140億美元,一年後到期的負債爲1.836億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有3.127億美元的現金和8,270萬美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有比總負債多9,770萬美元的流動資產。

It's good to see that Samudera Shipping Line has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Samudera Shipping Line boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

很高興看到Samudera Shipping Line的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這表明對負債的管理比較保守。由於其強大的淨資產狀況,它不太可能面臨貸款人的問題。簡而言之,Samudera Shipping Line擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It is just as well that Samudera Shipping Line's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 71% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Samudera Shipping Line will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

薩穆德拉航運公司的負荷也不是太重,因爲其息稅前利潤比去年下降了71%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲薩穆德拉航運公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Samudera Shipping Line has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Samudera Shipping Line actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。儘管Samudera Shipping Line的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,薩穆德拉航運公司產生的自由現金流實際上超過了eBIT。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Samudera Shipping Line has US$249.4m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 113% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$52m. So we don't think Samudera Shipping Line's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Samudera Shipping Line .

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,Samudera Shipping Line擁有2.494億美元的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的113%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了5200萬美元的收入。因此,我們認爲薩穆德拉航運公司使用債務沒有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們在薩穆德拉航運公司發現的兩個警告信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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