Shenzhen Tellus Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000025) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Shenzhen Tellus Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000025) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Shenzhen Tellus Holding's (SZSE:000025) stock is up by a considerable 7.0% over the past week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhen Tellus Holding's ROE today.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Tellus Holding is:
6.9% = CN¥123m ÷ CN¥1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.07 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
Shenzhen Tellus Holding's Earnings Growth And 6.9% ROE
When you first look at it, Shenzhen Tellus Holding's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.2%. But Shenzhen Tellus Holding saw a five year net income decline of 7.9% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.
That being said, we compared Shenzhen Tellus Holding's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 8.4% in the same 5-year period.
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The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shenzhen Tellus Holding's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is Shenzhen Tellus Holding Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Shenzhen Tellus Holding's low three-year median payout ratio of 11% (implying that it retains the remaining 89% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.
Additionally, Shenzhen Tellus Holding has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.
Summary
In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shenzhen Tellus Holding's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Shenzhen Tellus Holding visit our risks dashboard for free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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