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Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:003021) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:003021) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

深圳肇威機電股份有限公司(SZSE:003021)的股票正在上漲,但財務狀況不明朗:勢頭是否會繼續?
Simply Wall St ·  07/31 22:11

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics (SZSE:003021) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 12% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' ROE.

深圳肇威機電股份有限公司(SZSE:003021)在股市上的表現不錯,股價在過去一週上漲了顯著的12%。但是公司的關鍵財務指標似乎存在差異,這讓我們質疑公司目前的股價動向能否持續。在本文中,我們決定重點關注深圳肇威機電的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股東權益回報率ROE是測試公司增值能力和管理股東投資的有效性的指標。更簡單地說,它衡量公司在股東權益中的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics is:

因此,根據上述公式,深圳肇威機電的roe爲:

6.6% = CN¥207m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

6.6%= CN¥20700萬 ÷ CN¥31億(基於截至2024年3月的最近十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.07.

“回報”是指公司在過去一年的收益。因此,這意味着對於股東的每CN¥1投資,公司就能獲得CN¥0.07的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,roe可以作爲一種有效的衡量公司未來盈利能力的指標。現在我們需要評估公司再投資或“保留”的利潤有多少,這就給我們提供了有關公司增長潛力的想法。假設其他一切不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比。

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' Earnings Growth And 6.6% ROE

深圳肇威機電收益增長和6.6%的ROE

When you first look at it, Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.9%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics saw a five year net income decline of 19% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

當你剛開始看它時,深圳肇威機電的roe看起來並不那麼吸引人。但是,它的roe與行業平均水平6.9%相似,因此我們不會完全否定這家公司。但是,在過去五年中,深圳肇威機電的淨利潤下降了19%。請記住,該公司的roe略低。因此,收益下降也可能是這個原因。

That being said, we compared Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 12% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將深圳肇威機電的表現與行業進行了比較,並發現,在相同的五年期間,儘管公司減少了收益,但行業的收益增長了12%。

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SZSE:003021 Past Earnings Growth August 1st 2024
SZSE:003021過去的收益增長2024年8月1日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者需要判斷的下一個問題是,預期的收益增長,或其缺乏,是否已經內置在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是否進入清澈的藍水區域,或者是否會遇到泥濘的水域。深圳肇威機電是否與其他公司相比公允價值?這些3項估值指標可能有助於您做出決策。

Is Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

深圳肇威機電是否有效利用其留存收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (where it is retaining 71% of its profits), Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管有着正常的三年中位數支付比率爲29%(保留其利潤的71%),但深圳肇威機電的收益已經出現了下降的情況,如上所述。因此,這方面可能有一些其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

In addition, Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,深圳肇威機電已經連續三年支付股息,這表明儘管收益下降,管理層仍然希望維持股息支付。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對深圳肇威機電的表現有點矛盾。雖然該公司有高的再投資率,但低的ROE意味着所有這些再投資對其投資者並沒有帶來任何好處,而且其對收益增長產生了負面影響。話雖如此,我們研究了最新的分析師預測,並發現,儘管該公司過去有收益下降的情況,但分析師預計其未來的收益會增長。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們的分析師預測頁面了解。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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