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Is Weakness In Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

麥克莫蘭銅金股票的弱勢是否意味着市場可能犯了錯,鑑於其強大的財務前景?
Simply Wall St ·  08:38

With its stock down 10.0% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Freeport-McMoRan's ROE in this article.

由於其股票在過去三個月中下跌了10.0%,人們很容易忽視弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭銅金(紐約證券交易所代碼:FCX)。但是,股票價格通常由公司的長期財務業績驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來很有希望。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Freeport-McMoRan is:

因此,根據上述公式,弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭銅金的投資回報率爲:

15% = US$4.4b ÷ US$29b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

15% = 44億美元 ÷ 290億美元(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.15 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的利潤。另一種思考方式是,公司每持有價值1美元的股權,就能獲得0.15美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Freeport-McMoRan's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

Freeport-McMoran 的收益增長和 15% 的投資回報率

To start with, Freeport-McMoRan's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 10%. Probably as a result of this, Freeport-McMoRan was able to see an impressive net income growth of 27% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

首先,弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭的投資回報率似乎可以接受。此外,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的10%相比相當不錯。可能正因爲如此,弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭金得以在過去五年中實現了27%的驚人淨收入增長。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如——高收益留存率或實行高效管理。

As a next step, we compared Freeport-McMoRan's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 25% in the same period.

下一步,我們將Freeport-McMoran的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,發現與同期25%的行業平均增長率相比,該公司的增長數字相似。

big
NYSE:FCX Past Earnings Growth August 1st 2024
紐約證券交易所:FCX 過去的收益增長 2024 年 8 月 1 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Freeport-McMoRan fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。與其他公司相比,弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Freeport-McMoRan Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭銅金是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Freeport-McMoRan has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 25%, meaning that it has the remaining 75% left over to reinvest into its business. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭銅金的三年中位數派息率非常低,爲25%,這意味着它還有剩餘的75%可以再投資於其業務。這表明管理層正在將大部分利潤再投資於業務增長,公司的增長就證明了這一點。

Additionally, Freeport-McMoRan has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 24% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Freeport-McMoRan's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 16% for future ROE.

此外,弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭金已經在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享利潤。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司預計將在未來三年內繼續支付約24%的利潤。因此,弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭的投資回報率預計也不會有太大變化,我們從分析師對未來投資回報率爲16%的估計中推斷了這一點。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with Freeport-McMoRan's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們對弗裏波特-麥克莫蘭的表現非常滿意。特別是,很高興看到該公司正在對其業務進行大量投資,再加上高回報率,這爲其收益帶來了可觀的增長。話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益增長預計將放緩。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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