When close to half the companies in the Machinery industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Guangzhou Haozhi Industrial Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300503) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen firmly for Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. The latest three year period has also seen a 11% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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