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We Think Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd (SZSE:002545) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd (SZSE:002545) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲青島東方鋼鐵塔架股份有限公司(深交所:002545)可以控制其債務。
Simply Wall St ·  08/01 23:18

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Qingdao East Steel Tower Stock Co.Ltd (SZSE:002545) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯曾經說過,與其擔心股價波動,還不如擔心「永久性損失的可能性是我擔心的風險...我認識的所有實踐投資人都會擔心這個」。當考慮一家公司的風險時,自然要考慮其資產負債表,因爲當一家公司倒閉時,往往與債務有關。我們可以看到,青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司(SZSE:002545)在其業務中的確使用了債務,但股東是否應該擔心其對債務的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當一個企業無法通過自由現金流或者以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行其債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就成爲了一個企業的風險。資本主義的一個必然過程是「創造性破壞」,失敗的企業會被銀行無情地清算。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是一家公司必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東,僅僅是爲了控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司合理地管理其債務,並將其用於自身的利益。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要看現金和債務的總體情況。

What Is Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd's Net Debt?

青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd had CN¥1.70b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥2.01b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.64b in cash, so it actually has CN¥940.6m net cash.

如下所示,青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司在2024年3月有17億元的債務,而去年同期爲20.1億元。不過,其資產負債表顯示其持有26.4億元的現金,因此其淨現金爲940.6萬元。

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SZSE:002545 Debt to Equity History August 2nd 2024
SZSE:002545的資產負債歷史記錄截至2024年8月2日

How Strong Is Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd's Balance Sheet?

青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司的資產負債表狀況如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.58b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.81b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.64b in cash and CN¥964.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥777.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

從最近的資產負債表中,我們可以看到青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司需要在一年內償還25.8億元的負債,以及18.1億元到期的負債。與此相抵消的是,它持有26.4億元的現金和9641萬元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多了7772萬元。

Since publicly traded Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥7.69b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由於公開交易的青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司股票總價值達到76.9億元,因此這種水平的負債似乎不會構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以防惡化。雖然它確實有值得注意的債務,但青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司也擁有比債務更多的現金,因此我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 25% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司的管理層無法阻止其上一年EBIT的下降25%,那麼其債務負載的謙遜可能變得至關重要。當涉及到償還債務時,萎靡的收益和甜蜜的蘇打水一樣無用。顯然,資產負債表是你分析債務時要着重關注的領域。但說到底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司能否在未來加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看本免費報告,以了解分析師的利潤預測。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但我們最後考慮的也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用虛假的利潤償還債務,它需要的是真正的現金。雖然青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司在其資產負債表中有淨現金,但仍值得關注的是,它將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其構建(或破壞)現金餘額的速度。在過去的三年中,青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司產生了相當不錯的自由現金流,約佔其EBIT的68%,這正是我們所期望的。這種自由現金流使得該公司在適當時基本上可以償還其債務。

Summing Up

總之

While Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥940.6m. The cherry on top was that in converted 68% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.1b. So we are not troubled with Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Qingdao East Steel Tower StockLtd that you should be aware of.

雖然青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司的負債比流動資產多,但它的淨現金卻達到了940.6萬元。更美妙的是,它將68%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了11億元的收入。因此,青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司的債務使用並未給我們帶來麻煩。資產負債表顯然是你分析債務時要着重關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在平衡表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確定青島東方鋼鐵塔股份有限公司存在2個警示信號,您應該了解。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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