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Recession Fears Trigger US Market Selloff

Recession Fears Trigger US Market Selloff

經濟衰退擔憂引發美國市場拋售
sharecafe ·  08/01 18:30

Fresh activity data triggered fears that the Fed has left it too late to start its rate cut cycle and risks of a recession are rising.

新鮮的活動數據引發了擔憂,認爲聯儲局已經耽誤了開始其減息週期的時機,經濟衰退的風險正在上升。

The Dow Jones shed 494 points to close down 1.21 per cent on the day. The broader S&P 500 closed 1.37 per cent lower and the Nasdaq slipped 2.3 per cent. The small cap benchmark Russell 2000 index fell 3 per cent.

道瓊斯指數下跌494點,下跌1.21%,標普500指數下跌1.37%,納斯達克指數下跌2.3%,小盤股基準羅素2000指數下跌3%。

Turning to US sectors, the worst performer was Technology which gave up 3.36 per cent. The best performing sector was Utilities which closed up 1.85 per cent.

轉向美國板塊,表現最差的是科技板塊,下跌3.36%,表現最佳的是公用事業板塊,上漲1.85%。

Recession fears were triggered when several data prints pointed to a faster and deeper than expected slowdown in economic activity. Initial jobless claims rose the most since August 2023 and this was followed by the ISM manufacturing index, a barometer of factory activity in the U.S., which came in at 46.8 per cent, worse than expected. Post the releases the 10-year Treasury yield dropped below 4 per cent for the first time since February.

當幾項數據顯示經濟活動下滑速度比預期的更快和更深時,引發了衰退的恐慌。初始失業救濟金申請數量爲2023年8月以來增長最快的時期,其後是美國製造業指數(ISM製造業指數),該指數是美國工廠活動的晴雨表,該指數爲46.8%,低於預期。在發佈數據後,十年期國債收益率首次跌破4%。

These weak data releases come a day after central bank policymakers chose to keep rates at the highest levels in two decades, when Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave investors, some hope by signalling a September rate cut is on the table.

這些疲軟的數據發佈在中央銀行決策者選擇將利率保持在20年來最高水平的一天後,當時聯儲局主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾向投資者發出了信號,暗示9月可能會減息。

Not surprisingly stocks that would suffer the most under a recession were among the biggest losers on the day, including JPMorgan Chase, which lost 2.3 per cent, and Boeing, which fell more than 6 per cent. Nvidia fell 6.7 per cent and Tesla lost 6.6 per cent as six of the magnificent seven were lower.

毫不意外的是,在衰退下最可能受到打擊的股票成爲當天最大的輸家,包括摩根大通下跌2.3%,波音下跌超過6%,英偉達下跌6.7%,特斯拉下跌6.6%,其中的科技七巨頭六個下跌。

Amazon reported weaker-than-expected revenue for the second-quarter and compounded the negative news by issuing disappointing earnings guidance. Amazon shares slid as much as 6 per cent in extended trading. Meta Platforms bucked the trend rallying 4.8 per cent on stronger-than-expected second-quarter results and upbeat guidance.

亞馬遜報告第二季度營收低於預期,並公佈令人失望的盈利預測。亞馬遜股票在盤後交易中下跌多達6%,而meta platforms則逆勢上漲4.8%,因第二季度業績超過預期和樂觀的預測。

Apple's fiscal third-quarter revenue increased 4.9 per cent to $85.78 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, driven by stronger-than-anticipated iPhone sales. Despite iPhone sales declining 0.9 per cent to $39.3 billion, Apple outperformed expectations due to increased demand ahead of new AI features.

蘋果財年第三季度的營業收入增長了4.9%,達到了857.8億美元,超過了分析師的預期,這是由於iPhone銷售強於預期。儘管iPhone銷售額下降了0.9%至393億美元,但由於新AI功能需求的增加,蘋果表現優異。

Atlassian reported strong Q4 FY24 results with total revenue reaching $1.132 billion, driven by a 34 per cent surge in subscription revenue. However, the company recorded a net loss was $196.9 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, compared with net loss of $59.0 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023.

Atlassian報告了強勁的第四季度2024年全年財務業績,總營收達到11.32億美元,訂閱營收增長34%。然而,公司錄得2024財年第四季度淨虧損1,969萬美元,相比之下,2023財年第四季度淨虧損爲5900萬美元。

Futures

期貨

The SPI futures are pointing to a 1.8 per cent fall.

SPI期貨預計下跌1.8%。

Currency

貨幣

One Australian dollar at 7.30am was buying 64.99 US cents.

澳幣兌美元匯率爲7:30am購買64.99美分。

Commodities

商品雜項

Gold has added 0.32 per cent. Silver has lost 1.59 per cent. Copper has dropped 2.25 per cent. Oil has lost 2.05 per cent.

黃金上漲了0.32%,白銀下跌了1.59%,銅下跌了2.25%,原油下跌了2.05%。

Figures around the globe

全球經濟數據

European markets closed lower. London's FTSE fell 1.01 per cent, Frankfurt lost 2.30 per cent, and Paris closed 2.14 per cent lower.

歐洲市場收盤走低。倫敦富時100指數下跌1.01%,法蘭克福下跌2.30%,巴黎下跌2.14%。

Turning to Asian markets, Tokyo's Nikkei fell 2.49 per cent, Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 0.23 per cent, while China's Shanghai Composite closed 0.22 per cent lower.

轉向亞洲市場,東京日經指數下跌2.49%,香港恒生指數下跌0.23%,而中國上海綜合指數下跌0.22%。

Yesterday, the Australian share market closed 0.28 per cent higher at 8114.67.

昨天,澳大利亞股票市場收盤上漲0.28%,報 8114.67點。

Sources: Bloomberg, FactSet, IRESS, TradingView, UBS, Bourse Data, Trading Economics, CoinMarketCap, Marketech.

資訊來源:Bloomberg,FactSet,IRESS,TradingView,UBS,Bourse Data,Trading Economics,CoinMarketCap,Marketech。

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