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Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002907) Investors Are up 16% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Three Years

Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002907) Investors Are up 16% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Three Years

華森製藥(SZSE:002907)投資者在過去一週內上漲了16%,但過去三年的收益有所下降
Simply Wall St ·  08/02 19:59

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002907), which is up 13%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 30% (not including dividends).

通過買入指數基金,你可以輕鬆達到市場平均回報。但是,很多人夢想着獲得更大的回報,並自行構建投資組合。看看華森製藥股份有限公司(SZSE:002907),這家公司在三年內上漲了13%,大大超過了市場下跌30%的表現(不包括分紅派息)。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在過去的一週之內,獲得的強勁收益是否表明了長期回報受到基本面的推動值得關注。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

市場有時毫無疑問是有效的,但股票價格並不總是反映基本業務表現。一種有缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格,以評估圍繞公司的情緒如何變化。

Over the last three years, Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 31% (annualized).

在過去的三年裏,華森製藥的每股盈利沒有增長,反而下降了31%(年化計算)。

The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. So we'll need to take a look at some different metrics to try to understand why the share price remains solid.

每股收益的大幅下降表明市場並未使用EPS來評估該公司。因此,我們需要查看一些不同的指標來試圖理解股價何以保持穩定。

The modest 0.4% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 9.4% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!

微弱的0.4%股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。你只能想象長期股東對營業收入下降趨勢(年降9.4%)的感受。唯一明確的事情是華森製藥的股價與其歷史基本數據之間的相關性較低。可能需要進一步研究!

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

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SZSE:002907 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 2nd 2024
SZSE:002907於2024年8月2日的盈利和營收增長情況

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

值得注意的是,華森製藥的CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。監控CEO的薪酬是值得的,但更重要的問題是這家公司將在未來幾年內增加盈利。通過查看華森製藥的盈利、營收和現金流等交互圖表深入了解收益情況。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Although it hurts that Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical returned a loss of 9.3% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 18%. Given the total loss of 0.9% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

儘管華森製藥在過去12個月中錄得9.3%的虧損,但整個市場表現更糟,錄得18%的虧損。在過去的5年中,每年總虧損率達到0.9%,因此,在過去的12個月中,收益似乎已經惡化。雖然一些投資者在專注於購買那些正在掙扎但被低估的公司時表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過的話:“轉機很少發生。”跟蹤長期股價表現總是很有趣的,但要更好地了解華森製藥,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,承擔風險 - 華森製藥有3個警示信號(並且有1個使我們有些不舒服),我們認爲你應該知道。

But note: Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但是請注意:華森製藥可能不是最好的股票購買選擇。因此,請查看此免費列表,其中包含過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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