Adicon Holdings Limited (HKG:9860) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, Adicon Holdings may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.1x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Adicon Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
SEHK:9860 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 4th 2024 Keen to find out how analysts think Adicon Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Adicon Holdings' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Adicon Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 67%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 34% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 32% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Adicon Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has got Adicon Holdings' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Adicon Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Adicon Holdings that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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