Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600280) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Multiline Retail industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Has Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks Performed Recently?
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 34% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 16% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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