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Jilin Electric PowerLtd (SZSE:000875) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Jilin Electric PowerLtd (SZSE:000875) Has No Shortage Of Debt

亞聯發展電力股份有限公司(SZSE:000875)沒有債務短缺問題。
Simply Wall St ·  08/06 22:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Jilin Electric Power Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000875) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得好:「波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久損失。」看來聰明的投資者明白負債——通常與破產有關——在評估公司風險時是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到吉電股份股份有限公司(SZSE:000875)的財務報表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多少風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務對企業有幫助,直到企業無法償還,無論是通過新的資本還是通過自由現金流。如果情況真的很糟糕,貸款人可以控制企業。然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是一家公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是在資本密集型企業中。在我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Jilin Electric PowerLtd's Net Debt?

吉電股份股份有限公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Jilin Electric PowerLtd had debt of CN¥50.9b, up from CN¥44.4b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.40b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥49.5b.

下面的圖片爲細節請點擊。可以看到,吉電股份股份有限公司在2024年6月份的債務爲509億元人民幣,比去年的444億元人民幣增長了。另一方面,它有14億元人民幣的現金,從而形成約495億元人民幣的淨債務。

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SZSE:000875 Debt to Equity History August 7th 2024
SZSE:000875負債股本比歷史記錄2024年8月7日

How Healthy Is Jilin Electric PowerLtd's Balance Sheet?

吉電股份股份有限公司的財務狀況怎樣?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jilin Electric PowerLtd had liabilities of CN¥16.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥42.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.40b as well as receivables valued at CN¥11.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥46.3b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到吉電股份股份有限公司有160億元人民幣的負債到期在12個月內,427億元人民幣的負債則超過了12個月。抵消這些負債,它擁有14億元人民幣的現金以及110億元人民幣的應收款項即將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了它現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和,達到了463億元人民幣。這個不平衡讓這家規模爲138億元人民幣的公司籠罩在陰影之下,如同高聳於凡人之上的巨人。因此,我們會密切關注它的資產負債表,毫無疑問。歸根結底,如果其債權人要求償還,吉電股份股份有限公司可能需要進行重大的再融資。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥13.8b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Jilin Electric PowerLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

吉電股份股份有限公司股東面臨高淨負債比率(7.2)和利息覆蓋率相當薄弱的雙重打擊。負債負擔相當沉重。值得注意的是,吉電股份股份有限公司的EBIt在過去一年裏幾乎沒有變化,這並不理想,考慮到其負債負擔。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定吉電股份股份有限公司能否隨着時間推移加強其資產負債表。所以,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比以及計算其利息支出由收益前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋的程度來度量一家公司的債務負載相對於其收益能力的程度。此方法的優點在於我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(以淨債務爲EBITDA)以及與該債務相關的實際利息支出(以其利息覆蓋倍數計算)。

Jilin Electric PowerLtd shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.5 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Notably, Jilin Electric PowerLtd's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jilin Electric PowerLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最後,雖然稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款方只接受冷硬的現金。因此,邏輯上就是查看那些實際自由現金流量與EBIt相匹配的部分比例。在過去三年裏,吉電股份股份有限公司燒掉了很多現金。雖然投資者毫無疑問期望這種情況會在不久的將來發生逆轉,但它顯然意味着它的債務使用更加冒險。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Jilin Electric PowerLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

就表面而言,吉電股份股份有限公司將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流的方式,使我們對股票感到猶豫不決,而總負債水平的高低像一年中最繁忙的那一天的一個空餐廳一樣不太吸引人。但至少它的EBIt增長率並不那麼糟糕。考慮到討論的數據點,我們認爲吉電股份股份有限公司負債過高。這種風險對於某些人來說是可以接受的,但對我們來說明顯不能令人滿意。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表的風險。例如:我們發現吉電股份股份有限公司存在2個警告信號,您應該注意,其中1個不能被忽視。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Jilin Electric PowerLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Jilin Electric PowerLtd has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jilin Electric PowerLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

總的來說,吉電股份股份有限公司的EBIt轉換爲自由現金流的情況讓我們對這支股票感到猶豫不決,其總負債的水平也不比全年最繁忙的夜晚的一個空餐廳引人注目。但至少它的EBIt增長率還不錯。經過考慮所討論的數據點後,我們認爲吉電股份股份有限公司的負債過高。這種風險對於某些人來說是可以接受的,但對我們來說明顯不能令人滿意。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表的風險。例如:我們發現吉電股份股份有限公司存在2個警告信號,您應該注意,其中1個不能被忽視。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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