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Warren Buffett's Approach To Investing In Election Years

Warren Buffett's Approach To Investing In Election Years

禾倫·巴菲特在選舉年投資的方法
Benzinga ·  08/07 11:33

Warren Buffett, known as the "Oracle of Omaha," is regarded as one of the best American investors of all time. Still running the Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK) (NYSE:BRK) at 93 years old, Buffett has navigated his portfolio through various bull markets, downturns and election cycles.

被稱爲 “奧馬哈甲骨文” 的禾倫·巴菲特被認爲是有史以來最好的美國投資者之一。巴菲特在93歲時仍在經營伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:BRK)(紐約證券交易所代碼:BRK),他的投資組合經歷了各種牛市、低迷和選舉週期。

What Are Buffett's Politics?
Buffett has declared himself a Democrat, but not a "card-carrying Democrat." In 2020, Buffett said he would have no problem voting for Mike Bloomberg, who was running for the Democratic presidential nomination at the time, according to Reuters.

巴菲特的政治是什麼?
巴菲特宣佈自己是民主黨人,但不是 “持牌民主黨人”。據路透社報道,2020年,巴菲特表示,他可以毫無問題地投票給當時正在競選民主黨總統候選人的邁克·布隆伯格。

At the time, Buffett also said he agreed with some of the policies of Bernie Sanders. Buffett supported Hillary Clinton in her run against Donald Trump in 2016, but did not get spooked and alter his investment strategies when Trump won the election.

當時,巴菲特還表示,他同意伯尼·桑德斯的一些政策。巴菲特支持希拉里·克林頓在2016年與唐納德·特朗普的競選,但在特朗普贏得大選時並沒有受到驚嚇並改變他的投資策略。

How Does Buffett Manage His Portfolio During Election Years?

巴菲特在選舉期間如何管理自己的投資組合?

Buffett is a big believer of adding to his winners and cutting losers. He doesn't shy away from that strategy during election years, regardless of who is leading in the polls or the favorite to win.

巴菲特堅信增加贏家,削減輸家。在選舉年份,無論誰在民意調查中處於領先地位或者誰最喜歡獲勝,他都不會迴避這一策略。

In 2016, ahead of the election between Clinton and Trump, Buffett significantly trimmed his position in Walmart Inc (NYSE:WMT) and Deere & Co (NYSE:DE). At the time, he added to his positions in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL), which he has recently trimmed, as well as adding to his positions in airline companies like Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), Delta Airlines (NYSE:DAL) and others, according to ValueSider, a site that tracks funds' 13-Fs and other filings.

2016年,在克林頓和特朗普當選之前,巴菲特大幅削減了他在沃爾瑪公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:WMT)和迪爾公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:DE)的職位。根據追蹤基金13-F和其他申報的網站ValueSider的數據,當時,他增加了在蘋果公司(納斯達克股票代碼:AAPL)的職位,並增加了他在西南航空(紐約證券交易所代碼:LUV)、達美航空(紐約證券交易所代碼:DAL)等航空公司的職位。

In 2020, Buffett appeared to be a little cautious with his buys, adding predominantly energy stocks as well as different 'COVID plays' during the pandemic. In the lead up to the 2020 election, Buffett bought shares of Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Pfizer Inc (NYSE:PFE), AbbVie Inc (NYSE:ABBV) while trimming his position in financial stocks like JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) and Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC).

2020年,巴菲特的買入似乎有些謹慎,主要是能源股以及疫情期間不同的 “COVID玩法”。在2020年大選之前,巴菲特購買了美國銀行(紐約證券交易所代碼:BAC)、輝瑞公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:PFE)、艾伯維公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:ABBV)的股票,同時削減了摩根大通(紐約證券交易所代碼:JPM)和富國銀行(紐約證券交易所代碼:WFC)等金融股的頭寸。

In Conclusion: Throughout various turbulent times, Buffett has preached to his followers to never bet against America. In 2018, Buffett told investors that while a lot of people worry about political division in the country, things tend to work out.

結論:在各種動盪時期,巴菲特一直向他的追隨者宣講永遠不要押注美國。2018年,巴菲特告訴投資者,儘管許多人擔心該國的政治分裂,但萬億往往會奏效。

"Multiple times in my life, people have felt the country was more divided than ever," he said in 2018, at Berkshire Hathaway's annual shareholders meeting. "After every election you'll have people feeling the world is coming to an end and, you know, 'How could this happen? Through it all, you know, America — in fits and starts — but America really, really moves ahead."

他在2018年伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的年度股東大會上說:“在我的一生中,人們多次感到這個國家比以往任何時候都更加分裂。”“每次選舉之後,你都會讓人們感覺到世界即將終結,而且,你知道,'這怎麼可能發生?縱觀這一切,你知道,美國——起步不定——但美國確實在向前邁進。”

So, while some investors may switch up their strategies during election years, Buffett mostly stays true to the investing strategies that he's developed throughout the last 50+ years, and doesn't get caught up in the volatility during election years.

因此,儘管一些投資者可能會在選舉年改變策略,但巴菲特大多忠於他在過去50多年中制定的投資策略,在選舉年不會陷入波動之中。

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Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

通過 Midjourney 使用人工智能創建的圖像。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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