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Buying When There's Blood In The Streets

Buying When There's Blood In The Streets

在街道上有血流時買入
Benzinga ·  08/08 09:37

Taking advantage of today's market meltdown to bet on a couple of oversold, undervalued names.

利用今天的市場崩盤押注幾個被高估、低估的股票。

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In last night's Top Names post, I mentioned a game plan for this market:

在昨晚的熱門股名帖子中,我提到了市場中的一項計劃:

We've had some market headwinds this week, which seem to be partly due to economic weakness, and partly due to concerns about the election. A game plan for dealing with the uncertainty:

  1. If you're concerned about downside risk for positions you already own, consider hedging. As a reminder, you can download our iPhone hedging app here.
  2. We'll use up days to add short positions, and down days to add long positions, when we surface compelling ideas.
  3. We had a couple of successful exits of options trades today, including one on one of Portfolio Armor's top names, Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA), and Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META)

    — Out of our $META trade today for a 103% gain.
    — Out of our $CVNA trade today for a 220% gain. pic.twitter.com/fQbGqVyDWi

    — Portfolio Armor (@PortfolioArmor) August 1, 2024
    But I'm going to be cautious about using our top names for options trades until we get a better sense of market direction. I will still use them for our core strategy though.

本週我們遇到了一些市場風險,這似乎部分歸於經濟疲軟,部分歸於選舉的關注。應對不確定性的策略:

  1. 如果你擔心已擁有的股票會出現下跌風險,請考慮進行套期保值。提醒您可以在這裏下載我們的 iPhone 套期保值應用程序。
  2. 當我們發現有令人信服的交易機會時,在上漲日增加空頭頭寸,在下跌日增加多頭頭寸。
  3. 我們今天進行了幾項期權交易的成功出場,其中包括 Portfolio Armor 的幾個熱門股:Carvana Co. (紐交所:CVNA) 和 Meta Platforms, Inc. (納斯達克:META)

    — 以103%的收益率關閉我們今天的$META交易。
    — 以220%的收益率關閉我們今天的$CVNA交易。pic.twitter.com/fQbGqVyDWi

    — Portfolio Armor (@PortfolioArmor) August 1, 2024
    但在我們獲得更好的市場方向之前,我會謹慎使用我們的熱門股進行期權交易。但我仍會將它們用於我們的核心策略。

Today I got stopped out of one of the ten names I was holding as part of our core strategy, so I am going to add one of last night's top names today, a stock which happens to be down about 10% now (Our core strategy is to buy equal dollar amounts of the Portfolio Armor web app's top ten names, put trailing stops of 15%-20% on them, and replace them with names from the current week's top ten when we get stopped out of a position).

今天我止損了其中一項持有的十個股票之一,因此我今天會添加昨晚的熱門股中的一項。這支股票現在下跌了約10%(我們的核心策略是買入等額的 Portfolio Armor Web 應用程序熱門股前十名,將其設定爲15%-20%的跟蹤止損,並在持有頭寸止損時用本週熱門股的名稱替換它們)。

I'm also going to place a bullish options trade on it, along with another stock that's down about 10% today too. Both of these names meet the criteria I mentioned in this post earlier this week: Next year PEG ratios below 1 (indicating that they're inexpensive taking into account their earnings growth estimates) and RSI below 30 (suggesting that they are oversold).

我還將在這支股票上進行看漲期權交易,以及另一支今天下跌約10%的股票。這兩個股票都符合我本週早些時候提到的要求:明年 PEG 比率低於1(表明考慮到其盈利增長預期,它們是便宜的)且 RSI 低於30(表明它們被超賣了)。

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A Note Of Caution

警告:

If current market conditions continue for the duration of next week, we're probably going to lose money on both of these trades. I think both stocks make sense as longer term bets, and thought of placing longer term bets today, but I prefer more immediate gratification if I'm right about them bouncing after earnings next week. And if I'm wrong, I can always make longer term bets then, if I'm still bullish about both stocks.

如果當前市場狀況持續到下週,我們可能會在這兩筆交易上虧損。我認爲這兩支股票作爲長期賭注是有道理的,並且今天想在它們的收益後站崗,但如果我對它們在下週的收益盈利看好,我更喜歡更爲即時的獲得更多回報。如果我看錯了,我可以在我依舊看好那兩支股票的情況下,做出更長期的賭注。

Read the rest here.

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If you'd like to stay in touch

如果你想保持聯繫

You can scan for optimal hedges for individual securities, find our current top ten names, and create hedged portfolios on our website. You can also follow Portfolio Armor on X here, or become a free subscriber to our trading Substack using the link below (we're using that for our occasional emails now).

你可以在我們的網站上掃描個股的最優對沖策略、查找我們當前的前十股票、創建對沖組合。你也可以在這裏關注Portfolio Armor,或者使用以下鏈接成爲我們交易Substack的免費訂戶(我們現在在那裏發送偶發電子郵件)。

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声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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