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Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd (SHSE:688429) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd (SHSE:688429) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

常州市創能股份有限公司(SHSE:688429)在債務利用方面存在一定風險。
Simply Wall St ·  08/08 18:49

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Changzhou Shichuang Energy Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688429) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的詳利·盧支持的外部基金經理人李璐毫不掩飾地表示:「最大的投資風險並非價格波動,而是永久性資本損失。」當我們考慮公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看一下它的負債使用情況,由於負債超載可能會導致毀滅性的後果。我們可以看到,常州市創能源股份有限公司(SHSE:688429)確實運用了債務進行業務。但是這種債務是否會擔憂股東呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的一種工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人,那麼它就存在於債權人的掌控之下。在最糟糕的情況下,公司可能會破產,如果無法償還其債權人。然而,更常見 (但仍然痛苦的) 情況是,它必須以低價募集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,一個公司合理地管理其債務,並以自己的優勢來處理。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是考慮其現金和債務的總和。

What Is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's Net Debt?

常州市創能源有限公司的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd had debt of CN¥371.8m, up from CN¥6.49m in one year. But it also has CN¥1.39b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.01b net cash.

下圖所示爲常州市創能源有限公司於2024年3月的負債狀況,債務爲3,718萬元人民幣,比一年前的649萬元人民幣有所增長。但它也有13.9億人民幣的現金來抵消這些負債,這意味着它還有10.1億人民幣的淨現金。

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SHSE:688429 Debt to Equity History August 8th 2024
SHSE:688429的資產負債率歷史記錄(截至2024年8月8日)

How Strong Is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's Balance Sheet?

常州市創能源有限公司的資產負債表有多強大?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.59b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥169.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.39b in cash and CN¥430.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥57.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看出,常州市創能源有限公司有159億元人民幣的短期到期債務,以及1692萬元人民幣的長期到期債務。相抵消的是,它有13.9億元人民幣的現金和4308萬元人民幣的應收賬款,這些應收款項在12個月內到期。因此,它可以宣稱比總負債多5780萬元人民幣的流動資產。

This state of affairs indicates that Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥6.29b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種情況表明,常州市創能源有限公司的資產負債表看起來非常堅實,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,這家總資產超過62.9億元人民幣的公司極不可能缺乏現金,但仍值得關注資產負責表。簡單地說,常州市創能源有限公司擁有比債務更多的現金,可以合理管理債務安全。

It is just as well that Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 88% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

常州市創能源有限公司的負擔不太重要,因爲它的利潤(息稅前利潤)在過去一年中下降了88%。收益下降(如果趨勢繼續)最終可能會使即使是適度的債務也相當冒險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是自然而然的起點。但是您不能孤立地看待負債,因爲常州市創能源有限公司需要收益來還清這筆債務。因此,在考慮債務時,肯定值得看一下收益趨勢。單擊此處獲取互動快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是,我們最終的考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙質利潤支付債務,它需要有現金。儘管常州市創能源有限公司在其資產負債表中有淨現金,但仍值得查看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它積累現金的速度是快還是慢。過去三年,常州市創能源有限公司的自由現金流總額相當大。雖然投資者無疑希望這種情況能夠逆轉,但這顯然意味着它對債務的使用更加冒險。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd has CN¥1.01b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管調查公司的債務常常是明智之舉,但在這種情況下,常州市創能源有限公司擁有1.01億元人民幣的淨現金和一個相當不錯的資產負債表。因此,儘管我們看到了改進的一些方面,但我們對常州市創能源有限公司的資產負債表並不擔心。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到的有關債務的信息最爲重要,但是,最終,每個公司都可能存在在資產負債表之外的風險。我們已確定常州市創能源有限公司存在3個警告信號(至少有2個令人關注),了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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