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The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping ChinaLin Securities' (SZSE:002945 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.8% in Past Week

The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping ChinaLin Securities' (SZSE:002945 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.8% in Past Week

五年營收下滑對華林證券(SZSE:002945)股價沒有幫助,股價在過去一週又下跌了5.8%。
Simply Wall St ·  08/08 20:44

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in ChinaLin Securities Co., Ltd (SZSE:002945), since the last five years saw the share price fall 41%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 35%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 13% in the last 90 days. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 12% in the same period.

爲了證明挑選個股的價值,努力在市場指數基金的回報之上。但是,每位投資者幾乎都會持有超額收益和低於市場表現的股票。此時,一些股東可能會質疑對華林證券股份有限公司(SZSE:002945)的投資,因爲過去五年股價下跌了41%。我們也注意到,該股在過去一年表現不佳,股價下跌了35%。股東最近的表現甚至更差,過去90天股價下跌了13%。但這可能與市場疲軟有關,同期市場下跌了12%。

Since ChinaLin Securities has shed CN¥1.7b from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於華林證券股價在過去7天暴跌了億,讓我們看看長期下跌是否受到業務經濟的影響。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市場有時無疑是高效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。 一種檢查市場情緒如何隨時間改變的方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Looking back five years, both ChinaLin Securities' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 43% per year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 10% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 1.16k suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.

回顧過去五年,華林證券的股價和每股收益均有下滑,每股收益下降速度達到了43%。這種EPS下降比10%的複合年度股價下降更加嚴重。因此,市場可能曾預期這種下降,或者希望情況會有所改善。0.116萬的高市盈率表明股東相信收入在未來數年內將增長。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

big
SZSE:002945 Earnings Per Share Growth August 9th 2024
SZSE:002945每股收益增長2024年8月9日

Dive deeper into ChinaLin Securities' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of ChinaLin Securities's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

通過查看中國證券的收益、營業收入和現金流的交互式圖表,更深入地了解華林證券的關鍵指標。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market lost about 19% in the twelve months, ChinaLin Securities shareholders did even worse, losing 35% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - ChinaLin Securities has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

儘管整個市場在過去12個月損失了約19%,但華林證券的股東的表現更糟,損失了35%(包括分紅)。但是,可能僅僅是股價受到整個市場動盪的影響。有必要密切關注基本面,以防出現好的機會。值得遺憾的是,去年的表現爲這段糟糕時期畫上了句號,股東在過去五年中每年面臨總損失7%。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過投資者應該「在街上有血的時候買入」,但我們提醒投資者首先要確定他們購買的是高質量的企業。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響是值得的,但更重要的還有其他因素。例如風險——我們認爲,華林證券存在3個警示信號(其中2個令人擔憂),我們認爲您應該了解。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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