Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 31% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Genius Sports is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.3x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Genius Sports Has Been Performing
Genius Sports could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Genius Sports would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 125% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 19% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Genius Sports' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Genius Sports' P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Genius Sports' P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Genius Sports maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Hospitality industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Genius Sports with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If you're unsure about the strength of Genius Sports' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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